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Species · Louisiana · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Mississippi Kite Population Trend in Louisiana

All statesGeneralists

Mississippi Kite in Louisiana has surged: up 700% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

+700%Since 1969TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
81Routes In StateSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
55YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable Mississippi Kite Trends in LouisianaNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

long arc increasecomputed indexTrend sourceWhether the figure is our own computed route-weighted index or an official USGS modeled estimate. The current build labels every trend as computed.Full methodology →

Mississippi Kite has surged in Louisiana: up 700% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

Mississippi Kite Population Forecast in Louisiana

If the recent trend holds, Mississippi Kite in Louisiana is projected to rise about 49% by 2029 — from 2.5 in 2024 to a central estimate of 3.7 (95% range 2.5–4.8). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±44.7%, with 40% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+49%Change by 2029TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
3.7Projected 2029 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
2.5–4.895% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±44.7%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Mississippi Kite in Louisiana is projected to rise about 49% by 2029 — from 2.5 in 2024 to a central estimate of 3.7 (95% range 2.5–4.8). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±44.7%, with 40% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19672029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20253.42.34.6
20263.52.34.7
20273.62.44.7
20283.62.44.8
20293.72.54.8

Mississippi Kite Survey Routes in Louisiana

Routes recording Mississippi Kite in Louisiana.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Baton Rouge2720241995
Glencoe1420181989
Kraemer1020241997
Belair920241991
Carlisle719881987
Bickham720232000
Keystone720131996
Ramah720241988
Longstreet620241992
River Road620241987
Lafitte519911967
Larose519921990
Gibson520192001
Brousville520242009
Berwick520181987
Roseland420241988
Mer Rouge420081970
Gonzales420191999
Ville Platte420192008
Freetown320191967
Shaw320241972
Kaplan320212007
Burr Ferry320242012
Fort Jessup320232013
Ivan320132000

Mississippi Kite Population Trend in Other States

alabamaarizonaarkansascoloradofloridageorgiaillinoiskansaskentuckymarylandmississippimissourinew-mexiconorth-carolinaoklahomasouth-carolinatennesseetexasvirginia

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.