Species · Florida · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Mississippi Kite Population Trend in Florida
Mississippi Kite in Florida has surged: up 585% on the route-weighted index since 1968.
+585%Since 1968
50Routes In State
54Years
Notable Mississippi Kite Trends in Florida
long arc increasecomputed index
Mississippi Kite has surged in Florida: up 585% on the route-weighted index since 1968.
Mississippi Kite Population Forecast in Florida
If the recent trend holds, Mississippi Kite in Florida is projected to fall about 16% by 2029 — from 0.60 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.50 (95% range 0.17–0.83). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±57.6%, with 0% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
-16%Change by 2029
0.50Projected 2029 index
0.17–0.8395% range
±57.6%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0.46 | 0.13 | 0.79 |
| 2026 | 0.47 | 0.14 | 0.80 |
| 2027 | 0.48 | 0.15 | 0.81 |
| 2028 | 0.49 | 0.16 | 0.82 |
| 2029 | 0.50 | 0.17 | 0.83 |
Mississippi Kite Survey Routes in Florida
| Seminole Hills 2 | 19 | 2022 | 2002 |
| Dowling Park | 12 | 2019 | 1988 |
| Hilliard | 10 | 2024 | 2007 |
| Apalachicola | 5 | 2015 | 1992 |
| Oak Grove 2 | 5 | 2017 | 2017 |
| Bristol | 5 | 2023 | 1988 |
| Laurel Hill | 4 | 2024 | 2010 |
| Mt. Olive | 4 | 2024 | 2012 |
| Callahan | 4 | 2024 | 1992 |
| Blountstown | 3 | 2023 | 1966 |
| Betts | 3 | 2022 | 1987 |
| Miccosukee | 2 | 2024 | 1968 |
| Covington | 2 | 2019 | 1994 |
| Belmont | 2 | 2024 | 1977 |
| Micanopy | 2 | 1990 | 1986 |
| Doctors Inlet 2 | 2 | 2018 | 2017 |
| Goethe | 2 | 2024 | 2012 |
| Eglin A.F.B. | 2 | 2011 | 1995 |
| Ft Mccoy | 2 | 2013 | 1992 |
| Oak Grove | 1 | 2010 | 1972 |
| Ft Waltn Bch | 1 | 2011 | 2005 |
| Mossy Head | 1 | 2011 | 1966 |
| Broad Branch | 1 | 2024 | 1973 |
| Seminole Hls | 1 | 1998 | 1986 |
| Telogia | 1 | 1985 | 1968 |
Mississippi Kite Population Trend in Other States
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.