BirdAnalyst
Species · Georgia · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Mississippi Kite Population Trend in Georgia

All statesGeneralists

Mississippi Kite in Georgia has surged: up 272% on the route-weighted index since 1977.

+272%Since 1977TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
73Routes In StateSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
48YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable Mississippi Kite Trends in GeorgiaNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

long arc increasecomputed indexTrend sourceWhether the figure is our own computed route-weighted index or an official USGS modeled estimate. The current build labels every trend as computed.Full methodology →

Mississippi Kite has surged in Georgia: up 272% on the route-weighted index since 1977.

Mississippi Kite Population Forecast in Georgia

If the recent trend holds, Mississippi Kite in Georgia is projected to fall about 18% by 2029 — from 0.74 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.61 (95% range 0.31–0.90). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±29.6%, with 40% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-18%Change by 2029TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
0.61Projected 2029 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
0.31–0.9095% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±29.6%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Mississippi Kite in Georgia is projected to fall about 18% by 2029 — from 0.74 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.61 (95% range 0.31–0.90). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±29.6%, with 40% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19722029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20250.560.260.85
20260.570.270.87
20270.580.280.88
20280.590.300.89
20290.610.310.90

Mississippi Kite Survey Routes in Georgia

Routes recording Mississippi Kite in Georgia.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Sharon 2920242024
Everett City520191986
Guyton519931983
Dover520241977
Ousley520242015
Stockton320211994
Crest320172007
Jacksonboro320231980
Workmore320192013
Shiloh320212017
Weber320242016
Minter Tweed320242016
Irwinton320232019
Sunny Side320182014
Fitzgerald220162002
Cuthbert220241988
Macon220231987
Woodbine220242016
Finleyson220232023
Wadley220191995
Barges220242024
Good Hope220192019
Folkston220222017
Ware Co220242008
Big Oak220242017

Mississippi Kite Population Trend in Other States

alabamaarizonaarkansascoloradofloridaillinoiskansaskentuckylouisianamarylandmississippimissourinew-mexiconorth-carolinaoklahomasouth-carolinatennesseetexasvirginia

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.