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Species · Mississippi · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Mississippi Kite Population Trend in Mississippi

All statesGeneralists

Mississippi Kite in Mississippi has surged: up 474% on the route-weighted index since 1971.

+474%Since 1971TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
55Routes In StateSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
55YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable Mississippi Kite Trends in MississippiNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

long arc increasecomputed indexTrend sourceWhether the figure is our own computed route-weighted index or an official USGS modeled estimate. The current build labels every trend as computed.Full methodology →

Mississippi Kite has surged in Mississippi: up 474% on the route-weighted index since 1971.

Mississippi Kite Population Forecast in Mississippi

If the recent trend holds, Mississippi Kite in Mississippi is projected to rise about 47% by 2029 — from 0.58 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.85 (95% range 0.45–1.3). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±34.8%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+47%Change by 2029TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
0.85Projected 2029 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
0.45–1.395% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±34.8%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Mississippi Kite in Mississippi is projected to rise about 47% by 2029 — from 0.58 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.85 (95% range 0.45–1.3). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±34.8%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20250.800.401.2
20260.820.411.2
20270.830.421.2
20280.840.441.2
20290.850.451.3

Mississippi Kite Survey Routes in Mississippi

Routes recording Mississippi Kite in Mississippi.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Water Valley720182018
Cybur520191986
Columbia420151976
Eagle Lake420242012
Olive Branch 2420222017
Lucien320082008
Fayette320071976
Oak Ridge Vick320212015
Dahomey Nwr320242011
Beverly220111966
Isola220211992
Olive Branch220002000
Delta N.F.220161995
Tupelo220222009
Macon220232023
Waynesboro220071970
Vicksburg Np220212017
Panther Swamp Nwr220182016
Shelby220232023
Trace North220172009
Amite River220122009
Tchula 3220221995
Trace Hinds220222016
Latimer220121990
Moon220212016

Mississippi Kite Population Trend in Other States

alabamaarizonaarkansascoloradofloridageorgiaillinoiskansaskentuckylouisianamarylandmissourinew-mexiconorth-carolinaoklahomasouth-carolinatennesseetexasvirginia

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.