Species · Tennessee · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Mississippi Kite Population Trend in Tennessee
Mississippi Kite in Tennessee has surged: up 19× on the route-weighted index since 1977.
19×Since 1977
14Routes In State
34Years
Notable Mississippi Kite Trends in Tennessee
long arc increasecomputed index
Mississippi Kite has surged in Tennessee: up 19× on the route-weighted index since 1977.
Mississippi Kite Population Forecast in Tennessee
If the recent trend holds, Mississippi Kite in Tennessee is projected to fall about 60% by 2029 — from 0.73 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.29 (95% range 0.00–0.60). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±62.8%, with 20% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
-60%Change by 2029
0.29Projected 2029 index
0.00–0.6095% range
±62.8%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0.27 | 0.00 | 0.57 |
| 2026 | 0.27 | 0.00 | 0.58 |
| 2027 | 0.28 | 0.00 | 0.58 |
| 2028 | 0.28 | 0.00 | 0.59 |
| 2029 | 0.29 | 0.00 | 0.60 |
Mississippi Kite Survey Routes in Tennessee
| Mansfield | 12 | 2024 | 1981 |
| Moscow | 3 | 2023 | 2016 |
| Whiteville | 2 | 2023 | 2006 |
| Humboldt | 2 | 2024 | 2005 |
| Pawpaw 2 | 2 | 2023 | 2013 |
| Tiptonville | 1 | 2015 | 1977 |
| Pawpaw | 1 | 2011 | 1970 |
| Brownsville | 1 | 2018 | 2005 |
| Big Sandy | 1 | 2024 | 2014 |
| Sweetlips | 1 | 2018 | 2011 |
| Silerton | 1 | 2024 | 1976 |
| Trenton | 1 | 2021 | 2021 |
| Trace Collinwood | 1 | 2015 | 2015 |
| Jasper | 1 | 2009 | 2009 |
Mississippi Kite Population Trend in Other States
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.