Species · Tennessee · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Mississippi Kite Population Trend in Tennessee

Mississippi Kite in Tennessee has surged: up 19× on the route-weighted index since 1977.

19×Since 1977
14Routes In State
34Years

Notable Mississippi Kite Trends in Tennessee

long arc increasecomputed index

Mississippi Kite has surged in Tennessee: up 19× on the route-weighted index since 1977.

Mississippi Kite Population Forecast in Tennessee

If the recent trend holds, Mississippi Kite in Tennessee is projected to fall about 60% by 2029 — from 0.73 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.29 (95% range 0.00–0.60). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±62.8%, with 20% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-60%Change by 2029
0.29Projected 2029 index
0.000.6095% range
±62.8%Backtest error
19702029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20250.270.000.57
20260.270.000.58
20270.280.000.58
20280.280.000.59
20290.290.000.60

Mississippi Kite Survey Routes in Tennessee

Routes recording Mississippi Kite in Tennessee.
Mansfield1220241981
Moscow320232016
Whiteville220232006
Humboldt220242005
Pawpaw 2220232013
Tiptonville120151977
Pawpaw120111970
Brownsville120182005
Big Sandy120242014
Sweetlips120182011
Silerton120241976
Trenton120212021
Trace Collinwood120152015
Jasper120092009

Mississippi Kite Population Trend in Other States

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.