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Species · Oklahoma · BBS 2026 Release · 1966–2025

Mississippi Kite Population Trend in Oklahoma

All statesBirds of prey

Mississippi Kite in Oklahoma has edged up: up 21% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

+21%Since 1969TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
57Routes In StateSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
58YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable Mississippi Kite Trends in OklahomaNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for Mississippi Kite in Oklahoma. See the full index history below.

Mississippi Kite Population Forecast in Oklahoma

If the recent trend holds, Mississippi Kite in Oklahoma is projected to fall about 36% by 2030 — from 3.5 in 2025 to a central estimate of 2.3 (95% range 0.90–3.6). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±17.9%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-36%Change by 2030TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
2.3Projected 2030 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
0.90–3.695% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±17.9%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Mississippi Kite in Oklahoma is projected to fall about 36% by 2030 — from 3.5 in 2025 to a central estimate of 2.3 (95% range 0.90–3.6). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±17.9%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19672030
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20262.30.913.6
20272.30.903.6
20282.30.903.6
20292.30.903.6
20302.30.903.6

Mississippi Kite Survey Routes in Oklahoma

Routes recording Mississippi Kite in Oklahoma.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Chester3019881967
Reed2820191968
Hollis1720251993
Cashion1220241992
Elgin1220161994
Noble920251983
Wichita Mtns East920252005
Wichita Mts West920252005
Ardmore720251967
Holdenville520251984
Verden520171967
Grimes520251967
Erick520241969
Tatums520251992
Duncan520251988
Phroso420251991
Tegarden420161967
Goodwater420211992
Keetonville420222009
Big Cedar320191977
Phillips320251995
Mill Creek320251997
Beggs320231999
Eagle City320101967
Randlett220251993

Mississippi Kite Population Trend in Other States

alabamaarizonaarkansascoloradofloridageorgiaillinoiskansaskentuckylouisianamarylandmississippimissourinew-mexiconorth-carolinasouth-carolinatennesseetexasvirginia

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-08-14.