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Species · Oklahoma · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Mississippi Kite Population Trend in Oklahoma

All statesGeneralists

Mississippi Kite in Oklahoma has held roughly steady: down 4% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

-4%Since 1969TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
54Routes In StateSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
57YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable Mississippi Kite Trends in OklahomaNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for Mississippi Kite in Oklahoma. See the full index history below.

Mississippi Kite Population Forecast in Oklahoma

If the recent trend holds, Mississippi Kite in Oklahoma is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 2.1 (95% range 0.83–3.5). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±13.9%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-10%Change by 2029TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
2.1Projected 2029 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
0.83–3.595% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±13.9%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Mississippi Kite in Oklahoma is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 2.1 (95% range 0.83–3.5). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±13.9%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19672029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20252.20.843.5
20262.20.843.5
20272.20.843.5
20282.20.833.5
20292.10.833.5

Mississippi Kite Survey Routes in Oklahoma

Routes recording Mississippi Kite in Oklahoma.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Chester3019881967
Reed2820191968
Hollis2420241993
Cashion1220241992
Elgin1220161994
Ardmore820091967
Holdenville620241984
Grimes620241967
Verden520171967
Erick520241969
Mill Creek420181997
Tegarden420161967
Goodwater420211992
Keetonville420222009
Big Cedar320191977
Phillips320061995
Indianola320192002
Beggs320231999
Eagle City320101967
Tatums320241992
Phroso220241991
Cookietown220061968
Noble220241983
Rosston220181967
Felt220241976

Mississippi Kite Population Trend in Other States

alabamaarizonaarkansascoloradofloridageorgiaillinoiskansaskentuckylouisianamarylandmississippimissourinew-mexiconorth-carolinasouth-carolinatennesseetexasvirginia

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.