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Species · Texas · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Eastern Meadowlark Population Trend in Texas

All statesGrassland birds

Eastern Meadowlark in Texas has collapsed: down 80% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

-80%Since 1969TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
181Routes In StateSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
57YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable Eastern Meadowlark Trends in TexasNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

long arc declinecomputed indexTrend sourceWhether the figure is our own computed route-weighted index or an official USGS modeled estimate. The current build labels every trend as computed.Full methodology →

Eastern Meadowlark has collapsed in Texas: down 80% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

Eastern Meadowlark Population Forecast in Texas

If the recent trend holds, Eastern Meadowlark in Texas is projected to fall about 100% by 2029 — from 8.2 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.00 (95% range 0.00–19). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±96.3%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-100%Change by 2029TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
0.00Projected 2029 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
0.00–1995% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±96.3%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Eastern Meadowlark in Texas is projected to fall about 100% by 2029 — from 8.2 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.00 (95% range 0.00–19). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±96.3%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19672029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20250.000.0019
20260.000.0019
20270.000.0019
20280.000.0019
20290.000.0019

Eastern Meadowlark Survey Routes in Texas

Routes recording Eastern Meadowlark in Texas.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
E Georgetown10919791967
Vanderbilt8519761969
Oyster Lake7020241995
Wolfe City6619871969
Loyola Beach 26620242010
Rhome6320241967
Goliad Prairie6320162004
Winnie5820241967
Thornton5819841968
Henrietta5520221971
Weinert4819941969
Charlie4820241994
Gainesville4520241967
George West4420241971
Oakwood4219951967
Mount Zion4220241994
Chandler4120041968
Hobson3920241968
Rock Island3520241967
Loyola Beach3520091994
Port Acres3520241994
Gambill Ref.3520241995
Georgetown3319851967
Dike3120241969
Chinquapin3120241995

Eastern Meadowlark Population Trend in Other States

alabamaarkansasconnecticutdelawarefloridageorgiaillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourinebraskanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomapennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseevermontvirginiawest-virginiawisconsin

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.