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Species · Florida · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Eastern Meadowlark Population Trend in Florida

All statesGrassland birds

Eastern Meadowlark in Florida has fallen sharply: down 75% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

-75%Since 1968TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
110Routes In StateSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
58YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable Eastern Meadowlark Trends in FloridaNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

long arc declinecomputed indexTrend sourceWhether the figure is our own computed route-weighted index or an official USGS modeled estimate. The current build labels every trend as computed.Full methodology →

Eastern Meadowlark has fallen sharply in Florida: down 75% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

Eastern Meadowlark Population Forecast in Florida

If the recent trend holds, Eastern Meadowlark in Florida is projected to fall about 100% by 2029 — from 11 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.00 (95% range 0.00–9.7). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±101.9%, with 20% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-100%Change by 2029TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
0.00Projected 2029 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
0.00–9.795% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±101.9%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Eastern Meadowlark in Florida is projected to fall about 100% by 2029 — from 11 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.00 (95% range 0.00–9.7). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±101.9%, with 20% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20251.10.0011
20260.500.0010
20270.000.009.7
20280.000.009.7
20290.000.009.7

Eastern Meadowlark Survey Routes in Florida

Routes recording Eastern Meadowlark in Florida.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Palmdale12820231987
Pennywash Cr10920241987
St Lucie8420241987
Devils Gardn8420241987
Crewsville6920242000
Salvista6519791967
Broward5619731966
Gardner5219991987
Alturas4319861971
Kenansville4020241967
Webb3820241990
Clewiston3620232015
Sandy3320151987
Dale Mabry2719881966
Kendall2619911987
Alva2320231987
Lake Buffum2320241987
Mabel2220111966
Babcock Rnch2219901988
Romeo2120241966
Ft Lonesome2020241967
Sandy 22020242016
Shawano1920021987
Myakka Head1820111966
Deanville1520191987

Eastern Meadowlark Population Trend in Other States

alabamaarkansasconnecticutdelawaregeorgiaillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourinebraskanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomapennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasvermontvirginiawest-virginiawisconsin

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.