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Species · Florida · BBS 2026 Release · 1966–2025

Eastern Meadowlark Population Trend in Florida

All statesGrassland birds

Eastern Meadowlark in Florida has fallen sharply: down 75% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

-75%Since 1968TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
110Routes In StateSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
59YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable Eastern Meadowlark Trends in FloridaNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

long arc declinecomputed indexTrend sourceWhether the figure is our own computed route-weighted index or an official USGS modeled estimate. The current build labels every trend as computed.Full methodology →

Eastern Meadowlark has fallen sharply in Florida: down 75% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

Eastern Meadowlark Population Forecast in Florida

If the recent trend holds, Eastern Meadowlark in Florida is projected to fall about 100% by 2030 — from 9.8 in 2025 to a central estimate of 0.00 (95% range 0.00–9.9). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±105.3%, with 0% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-100%Change by 2030TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
0.00Projected 2030 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
0.00–9.995% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±105.3%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Eastern Meadowlark in Florida is projected to fall about 100% by 2030 — from 9.8 in 2025 to a central estimate of 0.00 (95% range 0.00–9.9). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±105.3%, with 0% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19662030
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20261.10.0011
20270.490.0010
20280.000.009.9
20290.000.009.9
20300.000.009.9

Eastern Meadowlark Survey Routes in Florida

Routes recording Eastern Meadowlark in Florida.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Palmdale12820231987
Pennywash Cr10920241987
Crewsville7020252000
Salvista6519791967
St Lucie6320251987
Devils Gardn6320251987
Broward5619731966
Gardner5219991987
Kenansville5020251967
Webb4620251990
Alturas4319861971
Clewiston3620232015
Sandy3320151987
Romeo3120251966
Indiantown 23020252018
Ridge Harbor2820251991
Dale Mabry2719881966
San Antonio2720251967
Ft Lonesome2720251967
Kendall2619911987
Alva2320231987
Lake Buffum2320241987
Sandy 22320252016
Mabel2220111966
Babcock Rnch2219901988

Eastern Meadowlark Population Trend in Other States

alabamaarkansasconnecticutdelawaregeorgiaillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourinebraskanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomapennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasvermontvirginiawest-virginiawisconsin

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-08-14.