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Species · Kansas · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Eastern Meadowlark Population Trend in Kansas

All statesGrassland birds

Eastern Meadowlark in Kansas has edged down: down 25% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

-25%Since 1969TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
63Routes In StateSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
57YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable Eastern Meadowlark Trends in KansasNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for Eastern Meadowlark in Kansas. See the full index history below.

Eastern Meadowlark Population Forecast in Kansas

If the recent trend holds, Eastern Meadowlark in Kansas is projected to fall about 22% by 2029 — from 31 in 2024 to a central estimate of 24 (95% range 11–37). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±20.3%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-22%Change by 2029TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
24Projected 2029 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
11–3795% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±20.3%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Eastern Meadowlark in Kansas is projected to fall about 22% by 2029 — from 31 in 2024 to a central estimate of 24 (95% range 11–37). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±20.3%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19672029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
2025251238
2026251237
2027241237
2028241137
2029241137

Eastern Meadowlark Survey Routes in Kansas

Routes recording Eastern Meadowlark in Kansas.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Thrall14119701967
Kanopolis13520241967
Lincolnville9220242002
Coldwater6020221971
Morehead5920242000
Galesburg5720241967
Reece5320242000
Trading Post5320242000
Ellinor4920241967
Coats4720241971
Wreford4720241967
Ashland4620211970
Le Loup4620212000
Solomon4620191982
Melrose4020231967
Grantville3920221967
Missler3720161975
Rock Creek3520211968
Lapland3420221974
Dover3420221967
Minneapolis3120191967
Pittsburg3120212000
Longton3120211976
Susank2620222000
Humboldt2420221968

Eastern Meadowlark Population Trend in Other States

alabamaarkansasconnecticutdelawarefloridageorgiaillinoisindianaiowakentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourinebraskanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomapennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasvermontvirginiawest-virginiawisconsin

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.