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Species · Alabama · BBS 2026 Release · 1966–2025

Eastern Meadowlark Population Trend in Alabama

All statesGrassland birds

Eastern Meadowlark in Alabama has collapsed: down 81% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

-81%Since 1968TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
107Routes In StateSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
59YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable Eastern Meadowlark Trends in AlabamaNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

long arc declinecomputed indexTrend sourceWhether the figure is our own computed route-weighted index or an official USGS modeled estimate. The current build labels every trend as computed.Full methodology →

Eastern Meadowlark has collapsed in Alabama: down 81% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

Eastern Meadowlark Population Forecast in Alabama

If the recent trend holds, Eastern Meadowlark in Alabama is projected to fall about 100% by 2030 — from 6.1 in 2025 to a central estimate of 0.00 (95% range 0.00–5.2). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±102.2%, with 0% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-100%Change by 2030TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
0.00Projected 2030 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
0.00–5.295% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±102.2%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Eastern Meadowlark in Alabama is projected to fall about 100% by 2030 — from 6.1 in 2025 to a central estimate of 0.00 (95% range 0.00–5.2). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±102.2%, with 0% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19662030
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20260.330.005.6
20270.000.005.2
20280.000.005.2
20290.000.005.2
20300.000.005.2

Eastern Meadowlark Survey Routes in Alabama

Routes recording Eastern Meadowlark in Alabama.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Dearmanville7219831966
Rock Chapel5120241995
Summitt5019811966
Dawson3819981966
Harrell2720251968
Brooksville2620251984
Lakeview2520251999
Hillsboro1719961966
Trade1720241966
Foley1719841966
Swaim1520251966
St Florian1420251967
Calebee1420251993
Stevenson1420241996
Mentone1320231993
Carter Grove1220232002
Whitehall1120251983
Georgetown1120251994
Wheeler Dam1120251993
Brantley1020251966
Fairview1020251990
Vina1020231996
Jena920251981
Childersburg919991985
Kymulga920252000

Eastern Meadowlark Population Trend in Other States

arkansasconnecticutdelawarefloridageorgiaillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourinebraskanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomapennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasvermontvirginiawest-virginiawisconsin

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-08-14.