Species · BBS 2026 Release · 1966–2025

Yellow-bellied Sapsucker Population Analysis

PicidaeForest birdsSphyrapicus varius

Yellow-bellied Sapsucker has surged: up 108% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

About the Yellow-bellied Sapsucker

The Yellow-bellied Sapsucker (Sphyrapicus varius) is a North American member of the Woodpeckers (Picidae). In this analysis it is grouped with the forest birds.

Size
6–19.5 in long (15–50 cm) — a chisel-billed climber (typical for the family)
Habitat
Woodlands and forest edges, including wooded suburbs and parks.
Diet
Insects and spiders gleaned from foliage and bark, with seeds and berries in season.
Range
Recorded on 614 Breeding Bird Survey routes across 25 states, most concentrated in the Atlantic Northern Forest.
Family
Picidae · Forest birds

Notable Yellow-bellied Sapsucker TrendsNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

Yellow-bellied Sapsucker has surged in surveyed states: up 108% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

Yellow-bellied Sapsucker Population Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Yellow-bellied Sapsucker is projected to stay roughly flat through 2030, near 0.67 (95% range 0.50–0.83). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±15.9%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

If the recent trend holds, Yellow-bellied Sapsucker is projected to stay roughly flat through 2030, near 0.67 (95% range 0.50–0.83). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±15.9%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19662030
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20260.640.470.81
20270.650.480.81
20280.650.490.82
20290.660.490.83
20300.670.500.83

Where the Yellow-bellied Sapsucker Is Detected

BBS routes recording Yellow-bellied Sapsucker, sized by most recent count.

Yellow-bellied Sapsucker Population Trend by State

Yellow-bellied Sapsucker population trend by state.
TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →Baseline yearThe first year of the smoothed window the trend is measured from. An earlier baseline means a longer record stands behind the number.Full methodology →Survey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
Alaskainsufficient datan/a2
Connecticut+437%197416
Illinoisinsufficient datan/a1
Iowainsufficient datan/a4
Maine-31%196876
Marylandinsufficient datan/a7
Massachusetts+520%196916
Michigan12×196870
Minnesota+491%197080
New Hampshire+97%196825
New Jerseyinsufficient datan/a1
New Mexicoinsufficient datan/a1
New York+250%1968107
North Carolina+66%19956
North Dakota+943%197911
Ohioinsufficient datan/a2
Pennsylvania44×196860
Rhode Islandinsufficient datan/a1
South Dakotainsufficient datan/a2
Tennesseeinsufficient datan/a1
Utahinsufficient datan/a1
Vermont+190%196826
Virginia+362%19975
West Virginia13×199914
Wisconsin+371%196879

Yellow-bellied Sapsucker Population Trend by Region

Bird Conservation Regions are the ecological unit for trends.

Yellow-bellied Sapsucker population trend by Bird Conservation Region.
TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →Baseline yearThe first year of the smoothed window the trend is measured from. An earlier baseline means a longer record stands behind the number.Full methodology →Survey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
Prairie Potholes+554%197433
Boreal Hardwood Transition+452%1968125
Lower Great Lakes / St. Lawrence Plain17×196862
Atlantic Northern Forest+64%1968155
Eastern Tallgrass Prairie+53%20049
Prairie Hardwood Transition+787%196880
Appalachian Mountains23×1968117
New England / Mid-Atlantic Coast13×196828

Yellow-bellied Sapsucker Conservation Status

Our route-weighted index shows it up about 108% since 1968.

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-08-14. Trend is a route-weighted relative-abundance index, not an absolute population.