BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 30 · BBS 2026 Release · 1966–2025

Yellow-bellied Sapsucker In New England / Mid-Atlantic Coast

All regionsNew England / Mid-Atlantic CoastForest birds

Yellow-bellied Sapsucker in New England / Mid-Atlantic Coast has surged: up 13× on the route-weighted index since 1968.

13×Since 1968TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
28Routes In RegionSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
56YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable SignalsNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for Yellow-bellied Sapsucker in New England / Mid-Atlantic Coast. See the full index history below.

Yellow-bellied Sapsucker In New England / Mid-Atlantic Coast Population Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Yellow-bellied Sapsucker in New England / Mid-Atlantic Coast is projected to rise about 45% by 2030 — from 0.46 in 2025 to a central estimate of 0.67 (95% range 0.40–0.93). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±17.3%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+45%Change by 2030TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
0.67Projected 2030 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
0.40–0.9395% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±17.3%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Yellow-bellied Sapsucker in New England / Mid-Atlantic Coast is projected to rise about 45% by 2030 — from 0.46 in 2025 to a central estimate of 0.67 (95% range 0.40–0.93). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±17.3%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19662030
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20260.620.350.88
20270.630.370.89
20280.640.380.90
20290.650.390.92
20300.670.400.93

Routes In New England / Mid-Atlantic Coast

Routes recording Yellow-bellied Sapsucker in New England / Mid-Atlantic Coast.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
WarrenCONNECTICUT242011
StraffordNEW-HAMPSHIRE142024
Warren 2CONNECTICUT122025
No WoodburyCONNECTICUT62025
Woodstock 2CONNECTICUT62025
Ware RiverMASSACHUSETTS62022
ShermanCONNECTICUT52019
BelchertownMASSACHUSETTS42025
BuckinghamCONNECTICUT22022
Long HillCONNECTICUT22018
GranbyCONNECTICUT22025
WarrenMASSACHUSETTS22008
MysticCONNECTICUT12021
E HartlandCONNECTICUT11989
UncasvilleCONNECTICUT12014
DanburyCONNECTICUT12023
Mid HaddamCONNECTICUT12023
SouthingtonCONNECTICUT12025
Kittery PtMAINE12025
NewburyportMASSACHUSETTS11969
S BarreMASSACHUSETTS12025
HoldenMASSACHUSETTS12024
Warren 2MASSACHUSETTS12024
BrentwoodNEW-HAMPSHIRE11968
EpsomNEW-HAMPSHIRE12025

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-08-14.