Species · Wyoming · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Lincoln's Sparrow Population Trend in Wyoming
Lincoln's Sparrow in Wyoming has surged: up 200% on the route-weighted index since 1970.
+200%Since 1970
49Routes In State
53Years
Notable Lincoln's Sparrow Trends in Wyoming
long arc increasecomputed index
Lincoln's Sparrow has surged in Wyoming: up 200% on the route-weighted index since 1970.
Lincoln's Sparrow Population Forecast in Wyoming
If the recent trend holds, Lincoln's Sparrow in Wyoming is projected to rise about 31% by 2029 — from 1.5 in 2024 to a central estimate of 2.0 (95% range 1.3–2.7). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±15.5%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
+31%Change by 2029
2.0Projected 2029 index
1.3–2.795% range
±15.5%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 1.9 | 1.2 | 2.6 |
| 2026 | 1.9 | 1.2 | 2.6 |
| 2027 | 1.9 | 1.3 | 2.6 |
| 2028 | 2.0 | 1.3 | 2.7 |
| 2029 | 2.0 | 1.3 | 2.7 |
Lincoln's Sparrow Survey Routes in Wyoming
| Fox Park | 31 | 2024 | 1992 |
| Buckskin Mtn | 23 | 2021 | 1980 |
| Crazy Woman | 18 | 2024 | 1979 |
| Ryan Park | 14 | 2023 | 2012 |
| Bald Mtn | 13 | 2024 | 1992 |
| Hayden Val | 11 | 1986 | 1986 |
| Mammoth | 11 | 2024 | 1982 |
| Yellowstone | 10 | 2022 | 1988 |
| Horse Creek | 10 | 2024 | 1980 |
| Ne Entrance | 9 | 2021 | 1982 |
| Savery | 9 | 1989 | 1989 |
| Alpine | 9 | 2024 | 1989 |
| Soda Lake | 9 | 2024 | 1980 |
| Colter Bay 2 | 8 | 2023 | 2021 |
| Big Sandy | 7 | 2024 | 2012 |
| Savery 2 | 7 | 2024 | 2007 |
| Wilson | 5 | 2024 | 1982 |
| Hunter Peak | 4 | 2024 | 1982 |
| Meeteetse | 4 | 2024 | 2024 |
| Green River | 4 | 1982 | 1977 |
| Cumberland | 3 | 1982 | 1978 |
| Fiddler Lk | 3 | 2024 | 1980 |
| Patrick Draw | 2 | 1980 | 1978 |
| Buford | 2 | 2023 | 1978 |
| West Thumb | 2 | 1982 | 1982 |
Lincoln's Sparrow Population Trend in Other States
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.