BirdAnalyst
Species · New Mexico · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Lincoln's Sparrow Population Trend in New Mexico

All statesGeneralists

Lincoln's Sparrow in New Mexico has edged down: down 15% on the route-weighted index since 1980.

-15%Since 1980
7Routes In State
43Years

Notable Lincoln's Sparrow Trends in New Mexico

No notable trend signals for Lincoln's Sparrow in New Mexico. See the full index history below.

Lincoln's Sparrow Population Forecast in New Mexico

If the recent trend holds, Lincoln's Sparrow in New Mexico is projected to rise about 38% by 2029 — from 0.09 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.12 (95% range 0.00–0.33). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±18.2%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+38%Change by 2029
0.12Projected 2029 index
0.00–0.3395% range
±18.2%Backtest error
19732029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20250.120.000.33
20260.120.000.33
20270.120.000.33
20280.120.000.33
20290.120.000.33

Lincoln's Sparrow Survey Routes in New Mexico

Routes recording Lincoln's Sparrow in New Mexico.
Mt. Taylor420121996
Cloudcroft320241988
Angel Fire220001992
Cebolla120231973
Ojo Sarco120241991
Angel Fire 2120232005
Gallinas119971997

Lincoln's Sparrow Population Trend in Other States

alaskaarizonacaliforniacoloradoidahomainemichiganminnesotamontananevadanew-hampshirenew-yorkoregonpennsylvaniautahvermontwashingtonwisconsinwyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.