BirdAnalyst
Species · Kansas · BBS 2026 Release · 1966–2025

Dickcissel Population Trend in Kansas

All statesGrassland birds

Dickcissel in Kansas has increased: up 36% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

+36%Since 1969TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
67Routes In StateSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
58YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable Dickcissel Trends in KansasNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for Dickcissel in Kansas. See the full index history below.

Dickcissel Population Forecast in Kansas

If the recent trend holds, Dickcissel in Kansas is projected to stay roughly flat through 2030, near 100 (95% range 77–123). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±3.8%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-3%Change by 2030TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
100Projected 2030 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
77–12395% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±3.8%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Dickcissel in Kansas is projected to stay roughly flat through 2030, near 100 (95% range 77–123). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±3.8%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19672030
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20269875121
20279875121
20289976122
20299976123
203010077123

Dickcissel Survey Routes in Kansas

Routes recording Dickcissel in Kansas.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Covert30420251967
Berwet28920252000
Kanopolis26920251967
Lincolnville23520242002
Ash Valley23020192000
Gray17920191967
Dalton15020251968
Chapman14619811967
Minneapolis14420191967
Solomon13420251982
Missler12220191975
Plymell12220252000
St John12120191967
Trading Post11920252000
Barclay11820251967
Susank11620222000
Wreford11220241967
Galesburg11120251967
Coats10620251967
Morehead10520252000
Beloit10320032000
Reece10020252000
Goessel10020252000
Ashland9720211969
Hanover9520251969

Dickcissel Population Trend in Other States

alabamaarkansascoloradodelawaregeorgiaillinoisindianaiowakentuckylouisianamarylandmichiganminnesotamississippimissourimontananebraskanew-jerseynew-mexiconew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomapennsylvaniasouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasvirginiawest-virginiawisconsinwyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-08-14.