BirdAnalyst
Species · Kansas · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Dickcissel Population Trend in Kansas

All statesGrassland birds

Dickcissel in Kansas has increased: up 31% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

+31%Since 1969TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
67Routes In StateSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
57YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable Dickcissel Trends in KansasNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for Dickcissel in Kansas. See the full index history below.

Dickcissel Population Forecast in Kansas

If the recent trend holds, Dickcissel in Kansas is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 99 (95% range 76–122). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±5.1%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+0%Change by 2029TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
99Projected 2029 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
76–12295% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±5.1%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Dickcissel in Kansas is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 99 (95% range 76–122). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±5.1%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19672029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20259773120
20269774120
20279874121
20289875122
20299976122

Dickcissel Survey Routes in Kansas

Routes recording Dickcissel in Kansas.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Berwet25520242000
Lincolnville23520242002
Ash Valley23020192000
Kanopolis22820241967
Gray17920191967
Solomon17820191982
Covert15320241967
Chapman14619811967
Barclay14520241967
Minneapolis14420191967
Missler12220191975
St John12120191967
Dalton11820241968
Susank11620222000
Trading Post11520242000
Wreford11220241967
Morehead10420242000
Albert10320241967
Beloit10320032000
Jamestown9920242000
Ashland9720211969
Hanover9720231969
Damar9520162000
Thrall9319701967
Beloit 29020182005

Dickcissel Population Trend in Other States

alabamaarkansascoloradodelawaregeorgiaillinoisindianaiowakentuckylouisianamarylandmichiganminnesotamississippimissourimontananebraskanew-jerseynew-mexiconew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomapennsylvaniasouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasvirginiawest-virginiawisconsinwyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.