Guild · Virginia · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Aerial Insectivores In Virginia
17 species in this guild. As a group they are -27% since 1968.
Guild Signals
No notable trend signals for aerial insectivores in Virginia. See the full index history below.
Forecast
If the recent trend holds, Aerial insectivores in Virginia is projected to fall about 13% by 2029 — from 3.6 in 2024 to a central estimate of 3.1 (95% range 2.3–3.9). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±12.7%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
-13%Change by 2029
3.1Projected 2029 index
2.3–3.995% range
±12.7%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 3.2 | 2.4 | 4.0 |
| 2026 | 3.2 | 2.3 | 4.0 |
| 2027 | 3.1 | 2.3 | 4.0 |
| 2028 | 3.1 | 2.3 | 4.0 |
| 2029 | 3.1 | 2.3 | 3.9 |
Member Species In Virginia
| Common Nighthawk | Caprimulgidae | -81% |
| Bank Swallow | Hirundinidae | -72% |
| Least Flycatcher | Tyrannidae | -69% |
| Eastern Kingbird | Tyrannidae | -68% |
| Chuck-will's-widow | Caprimulgidae | -67% |
| Eastern Whip-poor-will | Caprimulgidae | -65% |
| Willow Flycatcher | Tyrannidae | -65% |
| Chimney Swift | Apodidae | -61% |
| Barn Swallow | Hirundinidae | -46% |
| Purple Martin | Hirundinidae | -43% |
| Great Crested Flycatcher | Tyrannidae | -21% |
| Northern Rough-winged Swallow | Hirundinidae | -15% |
| Eastern Wood-Pewee | Tyrannidae | +15% |
| Eastern Phoebe | Tyrannidae | +52% |
| Acadian Flycatcher | Tyrannidae | +71% |
| Cliff Swallow | Hirundinidae | +127% |
| Tree Swallow | Hirundinidae | 26× |
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.