Guild · Arkansas · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Aerial Insectivores In Arkansas
17 species in this guild. As a group they are -11% since 1969.
Guild Signals
No notable trend signals for aerial insectivores in Arkansas. See the full index history below.
Forecast
If the recent trend holds, Aerial insectivores in Arkansas is projected to rise about 13% by 2029 — from 3.1 in 2024 to a central estimate of 3.6 (95% range 2.4–4.7). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±34.4%, with 60% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
+13%Change by 2029
3.6Projected 2029 index
2.4–4.795% range
±34.4%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 3.6 | 2.5 | 4.7 |
| 2026 | 3.6 | 2.5 | 4.7 |
| 2027 | 3.6 | 2.4 | 4.7 |
| 2028 | 3.6 | 2.4 | 4.7 |
| 2029 | 3.6 | 2.4 | 4.7 |
Member Species In Arkansas
| Purple Martin | Hirundinidae | -78% |
| Chimney Swift | Apodidae | -74% |
| Eastern Kingbird | Tyrannidae | -63% |
| Chuck-will's-widow | Caprimulgidae | -62% |
| Common Nighthawk | Caprimulgidae | -53% |
| Bank Swallow | Hirundinidae | -53% |
| Great Crested Flycatcher | Tyrannidae | -18% |
| Eastern Wood-Pewee | Tyrannidae | -6% |
| Eastern Whip-poor-will | Caprimulgidae | +14% |
| Acadian Flycatcher | Tyrannidae | +41% |
| Eastern Phoebe | Tyrannidae | +57% |
| Tree Swallow | Hirundinidae | +73% |
| Scissor-tailed Flycatcher | Tyrannidae | +84% |
| Barn Swallow | Hirundinidae | +92% |
| Western Kingbird | Tyrannidae | +95% |
| Northern Rough-winged Swallow | Hirundinidae | +436% |
| Cliff Swallow | Hirundinidae | 18× |
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.