BirdAnalyst
Species · Arkansas · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Scissor-tailed Flycatcher Population Trend in Arkansas

All statesAerial insectivores

Scissor-tailed Flycatcher in Arkansas has surged: up 84% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

+84%Since 1969
52Routes In State
57Years

Notable Scissor-tailed Flycatcher Trends in Arkansas

long arc increasecomputed index

Scissor-tailed Flycatcher has surged in Arkansas: up 84% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

Scissor-tailed Flycatcher Population Forecast in Arkansas

If the recent trend holds, Scissor-tailed Flycatcher in Arkansas is projected to rise about 30% by 2029 — from 3.0 in 2024 to a central estimate of 3.9 (95% range 2.2–5.5). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±29.4%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+30%Change by 2029
3.9Projected 2029 index
2.2–5.595% range
±29.4%Backtest error
19672029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20253.72.05.3
20263.72.05.4
20273.82.15.4
20283.82.15.5
20293.92.25.5

Scissor-tailed Flycatcher Survey Routes in Arkansas

Routes recording Scissor-tailed Flycatcher in Arkansas.
Farwell4920182010
Centerton1720242010
Coal Hill1520231967
Massard1320221967
Havana1320212010
Stark1220241975
Avoca1220241967
Russell1020212010
Ashdown820231967
Saffell720191983
Maynard720241987
Fulton720241975
Ravenden Springs520152010
England520242010
Hope420241967
Augusta420011973
Rupert420241984
Zion320241986
Yellville320222010
Ulm320241993
Augusta 2320162002
Stamps220241967
Blakely219981984
Hatfield 2220242017
Harrisburg220021987

Scissor-tailed Flycatcher Population Trend in Other States

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Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.