BirdAnalyst
Species · Missouri · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Scissor-tailed Flycatcher Population Trend in Missouri

All statesAerial insectivores

Scissor-tailed Flycatcher in Missouri has surged: up 273% on the route-weighted index since 1972.

+273%Since 1972
46Routes In State
54Years

Notable Scissor-tailed Flycatcher Trends in Missouri

long arc increasecomputed index

Scissor-tailed Flycatcher has surged in Missouri: up 273% on the route-weighted index since 1972.

Scissor-tailed Flycatcher Population Forecast in Missouri

If the recent trend holds, Scissor-tailed Flycatcher in Missouri is projected to rise about 27% by 2029 — from 0.90 in 2024 to a central estimate of 1.1 (95% range 0.69–1.6). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±12.4%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+27%Change by 2029
1.1Projected 2029 index
0.69–1.695% range
±12.4%Backtest error
19672029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20251.10.631.5
20261.10.641.5
20271.10.661.5
20281.10.681.6
20291.10.691.6

Scissor-tailed Flycatcher Survey Routes in Missouri

Routes recording Scissor-tailed Flycatcher in Missouri.
Diamond2520242015
Milford1020242015
Reeds820231975
Ohio420241972
Richland420152014
Handley320231972
Sni Mills319811967
Mincy320242016
Cassville220241967
Norborne220212009
Akers220241982
Graydon220241981
Filley220221975
Hayden220142014
Centertown220131983
Woodlandville220132013
Miller220242014
Williamsvill220212009
Hilda220242015
Sedalia220241992
Pulaski120242004
Peace Valley120192015
Sweden120221977
Pineville120241980
Cameron120192019

Scissor-tailed Flycatcher Population Trend in Other States

alabamaarkansascoloradoillinoiskansaskentuckylouisianamississippinebraskanew-mexiconorth-carolinaoklahomatennesseetexas

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.