Species · Washington · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Virginia Rail Population Trend in Washington
Virginia Rail in Washington has fallen sharply: down 63% on the route-weighted index since 1987.
-63%Since 1987
27Routes In State
33Years
Notable Virginia Rail Trends in Washington
long arc declinecomputed index
Virginia Rail has fallen sharply in Washington: down 63% on the route-weighted index since 1987.
Virginia Rail Population Forecast in Washington
If the recent trend holds, Virginia Rail in Washington is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 0.03 (95% range 0.00–0.10). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±70%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
n/aChange by 2029
0.03Projected 2029 index
0.00–0.1095% range
±70%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0.04 | 0.00 | 0.11 |
| 2026 | 0.04 | 0.00 | 0.11 |
| 2027 | 0.04 | 0.00 | 0.11 |
| 2028 | 0.04 | 0.00 | 0.11 |
| 2029 | 0.03 | 0.00 | 0.10 |
Virginia Rail Survey Routes in Washington
| Ozette | 2 | 2008 | 2008 |
| Wilbur | 2 | 1999 | 1999 |
| Mendota | 2 | 1988 | 1977 |
| Warm Beach 2 | 2 | 2022 | 2022 |
| Port Angeles | 1 | 2015 | 2005 |
| Warm Beach | 1 | 2016 | 2016 |
| Chewelah | 1 | 1993 | 1993 |
| Turnbull Nwr | 1 | 2023 | 1999 |
| Mendota 2 | 1 | 1996 | 1996 |
| Reardan | 1 | 2013 | 2009 |
| Columbia Nwr | 1 | 2021 | 2012 |
| Rimrock | 1 | 2018 | 1987 |
| Tonasket | 1 | 2014 | 1999 |
| Cusick | 1 | 2002 | 1991 |
| South Elma | 1 | 2024 | 1999 |
| Ellensburg | 1 | 2004 | 1998 |
| Spring Lake | 1 | 2021 | 2021 |
| Nighthawk | 1 | 2023 | 2018 |
| Raymond | 1 | 2021 | 2021 |
| Mt Rainier | 1 | 1993 | 1993 |
| Potholes | 1 | 2018 | 2005 |
| Bay View | 1 | 2007 | 2007 |
| Omak Creek | 1 | 2022 | 2007 |
| Laurier | 1 | 2012 | 2012 |
| L. Wenatchee | 1 | 2022 | 2021 |
Virginia Rail Population Trend in Other States
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.