BirdAnalyst
Species · Kansas · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Virginia Rail Population Trend in Kansas

All statesWetland birds

Virginia Rail in Kansas has declined: down 49% on the route-weighted index since 1976.

-49%Since 1976
6Routes In State
27Years

Notable Virginia Rail Trends in Kansas

No notable trend signals for Virginia Rail in Kansas. See the full index history below.

Virginia Rail Population Forecast in Kansas

If the recent trend holds, Virginia Rail in Kansas is projected to stay roughly flat through 2026, near 0.01 (95% range 0.00–0.10). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±164%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

n/aChange by 2026
0.01Projected 2026 index
0.00–0.1095% range
±164%Backtest error
19732026
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20220.020.000.10
20230.020.000.10
20240.010.000.10
20250.010.000.10
20260.010.000.10

Virginia Rail Survey Routes in Kansas

Routes recording Virginia Rail in Kansas.
Lapland219881988
Damar120002000
Coats119751975
Albert120171973
Severance120212021
Olsburg120132007

Virginia Rail Population Trend in Other States

arizonacaliforniacoloradoconnecticutdelawareidahoillinoisindianaiowamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamontananebraskanevadanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-mexiconew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomaoregonpennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-dakotautahvermontvirginiawashingtonwisconsinwyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.