Species · Michigan · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Virginia Rail Population Trend in Michigan
Virginia Rail in Michigan has fallen sharply: down 63% on the route-weighted index since 1973.
-63%Since 1973
25Routes In State
34Years
Notable Virginia Rail Trends in Michigan
long arc declinecomputed index
Virginia Rail has fallen sharply in Michigan: down 63% on the route-weighted index since 1973.
Virginia Rail Population Forecast in Michigan
If the recent trend holds, Virginia Rail in Michigan is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 0.01 (95% range 0.00–0.06). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±41.1%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
n/aChange by 2029
0.01Projected 2029 index
0.00–0.0695% range
±41.1%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0.02 | 0.00 | 0.07 |
| 2026 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.07 |
| 2027 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.07 |
| 2028 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.07 |
| 2029 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.06 |
Virginia Rail Survey Routes in Michigan
| Gibbs City | 4 | 1992 | 1992 |
| Scottville | 2 | 1971 | 1971 |
| Big Blue Lk | 2 | 2003 | 2003 |
| Howardsville | 2 | 2021 | 2021 |
| Hungerford | 1 | 2000 | 2000 |
| Chippewa Lk. | 1 | 2008 | 1998 |
| Seney Nwr | 1 | 2024 | 1992 |
| Allegan Wma | 1 | 2001 | 2001 |
| Cunard | 1 | 1985 | 1985 |
| Lawrence | 1 | 1973 | 1973 |
| Bravo | 1 | 1996 | 1991 |
| Muskallonge | 1 | 2006 | 2006 |
| Tahquamenon | 1 | 2013 | 2013 |
| Skegemog Pt | 1 | 1993 | 1993 |
| Nashville | 1 | 2018 | 1971 |
| Galesburg | 1 | 2023 | 1969 |
| Monterey | 1 | 2012 | 2002 |
| Rochester | 1 | 2011 | 2011 |
| Mottville | 1 | 2001 | 2001 |
| Riggsville | 1 | 2017 | 2017 |
| Skeels | 1 | 1974 | 1974 |
| Homer | 1 | 1985 | 1985 |
| Cathro | 1 | 1979 | 1979 |
| Juniata | 1 | 1990 | 1990 |
| S Lyons | 1 | 1978 | 1976 |
Virginia Rail Population Trend in Other States
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.