Species · New York · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Virginia Rail Population Trend in New York
Virginia Rail in New York has declined: down 32% on the route-weighted index since 1970.
-32%Since 1970
22Routes In State
29Years
Notable Virginia Rail Trends in New York
No notable trend signals for Virginia Rail in New York. See the full index history below.
Virginia Rail Population Forecast in New York
If the recent trend holds, Virginia Rail in New York is projected to stay roughly flat through 2027, near 0.02 (95% range 0.00–0.04). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±31.5%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
n/aChange by 2027
0.02Projected 2027 index
0.00–0.0495% range
±31.5%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 0.02 | 0.00 | 0.04 |
| 2024 | 0.02 | 0.00 | 0.04 |
| 2025 | 0.02 | 0.00 | 0.04 |
| 2026 | 0.02 | 0.00 | 0.04 |
| 2027 | 0.02 | 0.00 | 0.04 |
Virginia Rail Survey Routes in New York
| Rhinebeck | 1 | 2009 | 1966 |
| Duanesburg | 1 | 2016 | 2016 |
| Corbettsvile | 1 | 1966 | 1966 |
| Oneonta | 1 | 1969 | 1969 |
| Oriskany Fls | 1 | 1971 | 1971 |
| N Victory | 1 | 1970 | 1970 |
| Orleans | 1 | 1998 | 1998 |
| West Seneca | 1 | 1993 | 1993 |
| Castile | 1 | 2006 | 2006 |
| Randolph | 1 | 1975 | 1975 |
| Byron | 1 | 1989 | 1987 |
| Churchville | 1 | 1984 | 1984 |
| Watertown | 1 | 1994 | 1994 |
| St Regis Fls | 1 | 2012 | 2010 |
| Alder Creek | 1 | 1986 | 1986 |
| Oneida | 1 | 1972 | 1972 |
| Newcomb | 1 | 1975 | 1975 |
| North Easton | 1 | 2011 | 1996 |
| Ogdensburg | 1 | 1996 | 1987 |
| Naples | 1 | 1979 | 1974 |
| Philadelphia | 1 | 2022 | 1987 |
| Milford | 1 | 1992 | 1992 |
Virginia Rail Population Trend in Other States
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.