Species · Utah · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Rock Wren Population Trend in Utah
Rock Wren in Utah has surged: up 232% on the route-weighted index since 1970.
+232%Since 1970
106Routes In State
51Years
Notable Rock Wren Trends in Utah
long arc increasecomputed index
Rock Wren has surged in Utah: up 232% on the route-weighted index since 1970.
Rock Wren Population Forecast in Utah
If the recent trend holds, Rock Wren in Utah is projected to rise about 35% by 2029 — from 4.0 in 2024 to a central estimate of 5.4 (95% range 2.8–8.1). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±39.7%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
+35%Change by 2029
5.4Projected 2029 index
2.8–8.195% range
±39.7%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 5.2 | 2.5 | 7.8 |
| 2026 | 5.2 | 2.6 | 7.9 |
| 2027 | 5.3 | 2.7 | 8.0 |
| 2028 | 5.4 | 2.7 | 8.0 |
| 2029 | 5.4 | 2.8 | 8.1 |
Rock Wren Survey Routes in Utah
| Bonanza | 80 | 2015 | 1992 |
| Desert View | 33 | 2024 | 1987 |
| Shivwitz | 21 | 2024 | 1993 |
| Hite | 18 | 2023 | 1986 |
| Crawford Mts | 18 | 2023 | 2002 |
| Cleveland | 16 | 2024 | 1992 |
| Notom | 15 | 2024 | 1987 |
| Lake Powell | 15 | 2007 | 1993 |
| Peplin Mountain | 14 | 2024 | 1999 |
| Canyon Rims | 14 | 2024 | 1998 |
| Castleton | 12 | 1985 | 1969 |
| Glen Canyon | 12 | 2024 | 1993 |
| Willow Creek | 11 | 2024 | 1986 |
| Leamington | 10 | 2017 | 1992 |
| Hanna | 10 | 2024 | 1997 |
| Promontory | 9 | 2024 | 1969 |
| Randolph | 9 | 2024 | 1992 |
| Castle Dale | 9 | 2024 | 1993 |
| Moon Lake 2 | 9 | 2023 | 2004 |
| Jensen | 8 | 2024 | 1992 |
| Fayette | 8 | 2021 | 1992 |
| Hill Creek | 7 | 1995 | 1994 |
| Goose Creek Mtn. | 7 | 2023 | 2002 |
| Vernal | 7 | 2018 | 2003 |
| Pine Creek | 7 | 2023 | 1997 |
Rock Wren Population Trend in Other States
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.