Species · Texas · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Prairie Falcon Population Trend in Texas
Prairie Falcon in Texas has fallen sharply: down 53% on the route-weighted index since 1976.
-53%Since 1976
13Routes In State
18Years
Notable Prairie Falcon Trends in Texas
No notable trend signals for Prairie Falcon in Texas. See the full index history below.
Prairie Falcon Population Forecast in Texas
If the recent trend holds, Prairie Falcon in Texas is projected to stay roughly flat through 2024, near 0.00 (95% range 0.00–0.01). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±32.5%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
n/aChange by 2024
0.00Projected 2024 index
0.00–0.0195% range
±32.5%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.01 |
| 2021 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.01 |
| 2022 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.01 |
| 2023 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.01 |
| 2024 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.01 |
Prairie Falcon Survey Routes in Texas
| Skellytown | 2 | 2017 | 2017 |
| Valentine | 2 | 1982 | 1974 |
| Circle | 1 | 2015 | 2015 |
| New Waverly | 1 | 1976 | 1976 |
| Channing | 1 | 2008 | 2008 |
| Texline | 1 | 2011 | 1977 |
| Waka | 1 | 2002 | 2002 |
| Marathon | 1 | 2018 | 2004 |
| Miami | 1 | 2002 | 2002 |
| Quitman Canyon 2 | 1 | 2019 | 2019 |
| Hot Springs | 1 | 2014 | 2014 |
| Cornudas | 1 | 1975 | 1975 |
| Bear Mtn | 1 | 2007 | 2007 |
Prairie Falcon Population Trend in Other States
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.