Species · Kansas · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Painted Bunting Population Trend in Kansas
Painted Bunting in Kansas has surged: up 716% on the route-weighted index since 1971.
+716%Since 1971
24Routes In State
50Years
Notable Painted Bunting Trends in Kansas
long arc increasecomputed index
Painted Bunting has surged in Kansas: up 716% on the route-weighted index since 1971.
Painted Bunting Population Forecast in Kansas
If the recent trend holds, Painted Bunting in Kansas is projected to fall about 48% by 2029 — from 1.1 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.56 (95% range 0.00–1.7). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±49.6%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
-48%Change by 2029
0.56Projected 2029 index
0.00–1.795% range
±49.6%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0.53 | 0.00 | 1.6 |
| 2026 | 0.53 | 0.00 | 1.6 |
| 2027 | 0.54 | 0.00 | 1.7 |
| 2028 | 0.55 | 0.00 | 1.7 |
| 2029 | 0.56 | 0.00 | 1.7 |
Painted Bunting Survey Routes in Kansas
| Lapland | 125 | 1986 | 1976 |
| Coats | 9 | 2024 | 1978 |
| Reece | 5 | 2024 | 2002 |
| Humboldt | 4 | 2017 | 1986 |
| Dalton | 4 | 2024 | 1968 |
| Coldwater | 4 | 2022 | 2011 |
| Galesburg | 3 | 2024 | 2010 |
| Wellington | 3 | 2024 | 1968 |
| Morehead | 3 | 2024 | 2021 |
| Ashland | 2 | 2021 | 1990 |
| Melrose | 1 | 2023 | 1976 |
| St John | 1 | 1990 | 1990 |
| Olathe | 1 | 1987 | 1970 |
| Dover | 1 | 1997 | 1992 |
| Barclay | 1 | 2021 | 2004 |
| Wreford | 1 | 2023 | 1993 |
| Albert | 1 | 1997 | 1987 |
| Kanopolis | 1 | 2021 | 2012 |
| Berwet | 1 | 2024 | 2006 |
| Trading Post | 1 | 2022 | 2012 |
| Le Loup | 1 | 2021 | 2009 |
| Lincolnville | 1 | 2017 | 2009 |
| Olsburg | 1 | 2011 | 2003 |
| Longton | 1 | 2021 | 1999 |
Painted Bunting Population Trend in Other States
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.