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Species · Louisiana · BBS 2026 Release · 1966–2025

Painted Bunting Population Trend in Louisiana

All statesForest birds

Painted Bunting in Louisiana has held roughly steady: down 6% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

-6%Since 1969TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
94Routes In StateSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
58YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable Painted Bunting Trends in LouisianaNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for Painted Bunting in Louisiana. See the full index history below.

Painted Bunting Population Forecast in Louisiana

If the recent trend holds, Painted Bunting in Louisiana is projected to fall about 33% by 2030 — from 5.3 in 2025 to a central estimate of 3.5 (95% range 1.2–5.8). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±31.5%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-33%Change by 2030TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
3.5Projected 2030 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
1.2–5.895% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±31.5%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Painted Bunting in Louisiana is projected to fall about 33% by 2030 — from 5.3 in 2025 to a central estimate of 3.5 (95% range 1.2–5.8). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±31.5%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19672030
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20263.71.46.0
20273.61.45.9
20283.61.35.9
20293.61.35.8
20303.51.25.8

Painted Bunting Survey Routes in Louisiana

Routes recording Painted Bunting in Louisiana.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Atchafalaya4420251989
Ramah3720251988
Frogmore2620251998
Shaw1920241967
Carlisle1719881987
Lafitte1619911967
Morgan City1420222011
Mayflower1320251967
Berwick1320181987
Morgan City1119861967
Glencoe1120181989
De Quincy1120191998
Transylvania1120251999
Mamou1019821967
Easton919901967
Maurice920241988
Rayville 2920252009
Ltl Chenier 2920112010
Kraemer820251999
Junior719911987
Freetown720191967
Derry719891970
Ltl Chenier720251986
Lake Cove720182011
Brousville620252009

Painted Bunting Population Trend in Other States

alabamaarkansasfloridageorgiakansasmississippimissourinew-mexiconorth-carolinaoklahomasouth-carolinatennesseetexas

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-08-14.