Species · New Mexico · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Common Grackle Population Trend in New Mexico
Common Grackle in New Mexico has fallen sharply: down 73% on the route-weighted index since 1972.
-73%Since 1972
26Routes In State
54Years
Notable Common Grackle Trends in New Mexico
long arc declinecomputed index
Common Grackle has fallen sharply in New Mexico: down 73% on the route-weighted index since 1972.
Common Grackle Population Forecast in New Mexico
If the recent trend holds, Common Grackle in New Mexico is projected to fall about 10% by 2029 — from 0.39 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.35 (95% range 0.00–1.2). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±78.3%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
-10%Change by 2029
0.35Projected 2029 index
0.00–1.295% range
±78.3%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0.40 | 0.00 | 1.2 |
| 2026 | 0.39 | 0.00 | 1.2 |
| 2027 | 0.37 | 0.00 | 1.2 |
| 2028 | 0.36 | 0.00 | 1.2 |
| 2029 | 0.35 | 0.00 | 1.2 |
Common Grackle Survey Routes in New Mexico
| Cooley Lake | 15 | 2024 | 1972 |
| Capulin | 8 | 1993 | 1993 |
| Valencia | 6 | 1997 | 1970 |
| Tucumcari | 5 | 1975 | 1975 |
| Floyd | 5 | 2018 | 2018 |
| Angel Fire | 5 | 2002 | 1993 |
| Roswell | 4 | 1971 | 1971 |
| Variadero | 4 | 2008 | 2003 |
| Horse Mtn | 3 | 1993 | 1993 |
| Pep | 3 | 2019 | 2003 |
| Grenville | 2 | 2024 | 1980 |
| Sedan | 2 | 2023 | 1996 |
| Vallecitos | 2 | 2001 | 1998 |
| Gallinas | 2 | 2016 | 1992 |
| Rosebud | 2 | 2023 | 2010 |
| Pastura | 2 | 2016 | 2002 |
| Cebolla | 1 | 2005 | 1982 |
| Ojo Sarco | 1 | 2017 | 1999 |
| Farley | 1 | 2024 | 2000 |
| Pecos | 1 | 2010 | 1994 |
| Angel Fire 2 | 1 | 2018 | 2005 |
| Maxwell | 1 | 2019 | 1997 |
| Clovis | 1 | 2018 | 2003 |
| Laborcita | 1 | 1993 | 1993 |
| La Plata | 1 | 2005 | 2005 |
Common Grackle Population Trend in Other States
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Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.