Species · Arkansas · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Common Grackle Population Trend in Arkansas
Common Grackle in Arkansas has collapsed: down 77% on the route-weighted index since 1969.
-77%Since 1969
56Routes In State
57Years
Notable Common Grackle Trends in Arkansas
long arc declinecomputed index
Common Grackle has collapsed in Arkansas: down 77% on the route-weighted index since 1969.
Common Grackle Population Forecast in Arkansas
If the recent trend holds, Common Grackle in Arkansas is projected to fall about 76% by 2029 — from 9.3 in 2024 to a central estimate of 2.3 (95% range 0.00–11). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±15.8%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
-76%Change by 2029
2.3Projected 2029 index
0.00–1195% range
±15.8%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 4.6 | 0.00 | 13 |
| 2026 | 4.0 | 0.00 | 12 |
| 2027 | 3.4 | 0.00 | 12 |
| 2028 | 2.9 | 0.00 | 11 |
| 2029 | 2.3 | 0.00 | 11 |
Common Grackle Survey Routes in Arkansas
| Dell | 83 | 2024 | 2010 |
| Wilson | 80 | 2024 | 1993 |
| Augusta | 63 | 2001 | 1967 |
| Whitton | 61 | 1991 | 1967 |
| Waldron | 56 | 2004 | 2004 |
| Harrisburg | 47 | 2019 | 1967 |
| Massard | 47 | 2022 | 1967 |
| Lafe | 29 | 2022 | 2017 |
| Maynard | 28 | 2024 | 1967 |
| Farwell | 27 | 2018 | 2010 |
| Hickory Ridge | 24 | 2022 | 2010 |
| England | 20 | 2024 | 2010 |
| Avoca | 16 | 2024 | 1967 |
| Coal Hill | 15 | 2023 | 1967 |
| Augusta 2 | 14 | 2016 | 2002 |
| Hughes | 13 | 2023 | 1967 |
| Ulm | 13 | 2024 | 1987 |
| Blakely | 12 | 1999 | 1969 |
| Ashdown | 10 | 2023 | 1967 |
| Saffell | 10 | 2019 | 1967 |
| South Bend | 9 | 2023 | 1967 |
| Gillett | 6 | 2024 | 2010 |
| West Tyler | 5 | 1984 | 1975 |
| Kelso | 5 | 2016 | 2010 |
| Poyen 2 | 5 | 2023 | 2008 |
Common Grackle Population Trend in Other States
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Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.