BirdAnalyst
Species · Alaska · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Canada Jay Population Trend in Alaska

All statesGeneralists

Canada Jay in Alaska has held roughly steady: up 9% on the route-weighted index since 1975.

+9%Since 1975
88Routes In State
48Years

Notable Canada Jay Trends in Alaska

No notable trend signals for Canada Jay in Alaska. See the full index history below.

Canada Jay Population Forecast in Alaska

If the recent trend holds, Canada Jay in Alaska is projected to rise about 43% by 2029 — from 4.1 in 2024 to a central estimate of 5.8 (95% range 2.9–8.7). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±29.4%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+43%Change by 2029
5.8Projected 2029 index
2.9–8.795% range
±29.4%Backtest error
19682029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20255.72.88.5
20265.72.88.6
20275.72.98.6
20285.82.98.7
20295.82.98.7

Canada Jay Survey Routes in Alaska

Routes recording Canada Jay in Alaska.
Sourdough2120241983
Gweek River2120021994
Livengood1920212007
Nicholai Sl1820241993
Eagle1720241982
Northway1620231989
Kanuti Lake1620242006
Ruby1520241994
Chatanika R1420231968
Sheep Mtn1420171983
Delta1420241995
Nebesna1319751975
Tower Bluffs1120231994
Chicken1120241992
Slana1020241994
Mud River1020241993
Tatalina1020191995
Savage920241986
Cohoe920232012
Dillingham (Short)919841984
Caribou Mtn.920241993
Unalakleet River920241996
Moose Creek920221993
Mt. Fairplay920241993
Circle820241986

Canada Jay Population Trend in Other States

arizonacaliforniacoloradoidahomainemichiganminnesotamontananew-hampshirenew-yorkoregonsouth-dakotautahvermontwashingtonwisconsinwyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.