Species · Utah · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Swainson's Hawk Population Trend in Utah
Swainson's Hawk in Utah has declined: down 41% on the route-weighted index since 1972.
-41%Since 1972
60Routes In State
52Years
Notable Swainson's Hawk Trends in Utah
No notable trend signals for Swainson's Hawk in Utah. See the full index history below.
Swainson's Hawk Population Forecast in Utah
If the recent trend holds, Swainson's Hawk in Utah is projected to fall about 45% by 2029 — from 0.71 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.39 (95% range 0.00–1.4). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±45.3%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
-45%Change by 2029
0.39Projected 2029 index
0.00–1.495% range
±45.3%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0.42 | 0.00 | 1.5 |
| 2026 | 0.41 | 0.00 | 1.5 |
| 2027 | 0.41 | 0.00 | 1.4 |
| 2028 | 0.40 | 0.00 | 1.4 |
| 2029 | 0.39 | 0.00 | 1.4 |
Swainson's Hawk Survey Routes in Utah
| Snowville | 13 | 2024 | 2006 |
| Randolph | 6 | 2024 | 1993 |
| Promontory | 4 | 2024 | 1969 |
| Hyrum | 4 | 1979 | 1976 |
| Beck | 4 | 1987 | 1972 |
| Timpie Spg | 3 | 2003 | 1979 |
| Oak City | 3 | 2024 | 1972 |
| Lynn | 3 | 2023 | 1983 |
| Goose Creek Mtn. | 3 | 2023 | 1998 |
| Johnson Can | 3 | 2022 | 1990 |
| Delta | 3 | 2024 | 1990 |
| Goshen | 2 | 2024 | 1970 |
| E. Bear Lake | 2 | 2021 | 1996 |
| Castleton | 2 | 1977 | 1977 |
| Grouse Creek | 2 | 2008 | 1987 |
| Vernon | 2 | 2024 | 1993 |
| Leamington | 2 | 2017 | 1994 |
| Fayette | 2 | 2019 | 1994 |
| Grantsville | 2 | 2024 | 2001 |
| Westwater | 2 | 2017 | 2001 |
| Pine Creek | 2 | 2023 | 2010 |
| Wah Wah | 2 | 2019 | 2019 |
| Wellington 3 | 1 | 2024 | 2024 |
| Moon Lake 2 | 1 | 2017 | 2014 |
| Salt Springs | 1 | 2019 | 2011 |
Swainson's Hawk Population Trend in Other States
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.