Species · Oklahoma · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Swainson's Hawk Population Trend in Oklahoma
Swainson's Hawk in Oklahoma has surged: up 122% on the route-weighted index since 1969.
+122%Since 1969
44Routes In State
57Years
Notable Swainson's Hawk Trends in Oklahoma
long arc increasecomputed index
Swainson's Hawk has surged in Oklahoma: up 122% on the route-weighted index since 1969.
Swainson's Hawk Population Forecast in Oklahoma
If the recent trend holds, Swainson's Hawk in Oklahoma is projected to fall about 43% by 2029 — from 1.8 in 2024 to a central estimate of 1.0 (95% range 0.49–1.6). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±33.9%, with 60% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
-43%Change by 2029
1.0Projected 2029 index
0.49–1.695% range
±33.9%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 1.0 | 0.45 | 1.6 |
| 2026 | 1.0 | 0.46 | 1.6 |
| 2027 | 1.0 | 0.47 | 1.6 |
| 2028 | 1.0 | 0.48 | 1.6 |
| 2029 | 1.0 | 0.49 | 1.6 |
Swainson's Hawk Survey Routes in Oklahoma
| Hooker | 20 | 2024 | 1992 |
| Sickles | 12 | 2021 | 1993 |
| Keyes | 11 | 2024 | 1992 |
| Clear Lake | 7 | 2024 | 1992 |
| Cashion | 5 | 2024 | 1993 |
| Eagle City | 4 | 2001 | 1971 |
| Cooperton | 4 | 2024 | 2010 |
| Loco | 3 | 1979 | 1967 |
| Chester | 3 | 1988 | 1967 |
| Rosston | 3 | 2018 | 1969 |
| Felt | 3 | 2024 | 1968 |
| Hunter | 3 | 1994 | 1992 |
| Cookietown | 2 | 2002 | 1969 |
| Beaver | 2 | 2018 | 1979 |
| Hollis | 2 | 2019 | 1993 |
| Phroso | 1 | 2023 | 1993 |
| Phillips | 1 | 1971 | 1971 |
| Mill Creek | 1 | 2011 | 2011 |
| Ardmore | 1 | 1968 | 1968 |
| Randlett | 1 | 2022 | 1970 |
| Reed | 1 | 2017 | 1968 |
| Canadian | 1 | 1982 | 1968 |
| Indianola | 1 | 2008 | 1977 |
| Choctaw | 1 | 2001 | 1970 |
| Verden | 1 | 2017 | 1967 |
Swainson's Hawk Population Trend in Other States
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.