Species · Minnesota · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Swainson's Hawk Population Trend in Minnesota
Swainson's Hawk in Minnesota has edged down: down 20% on the route-weighted index since 1980.
-20%Since 1980
22Routes In State
34Years
Notable Swainson's Hawk Trends in Minnesota
No notable trend signals for Swainson's Hawk in Minnesota. See the full index history below.
Swainson's Hawk Population Forecast in Minnesota
If the recent trend holds, Swainson's Hawk in Minnesota is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 0.03 (95% range 0.00–0.06). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±37.1%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
n/aChange by 2029
0.03Projected 2029 index
0.00–0.0695% range
±37.1%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0.03 | 0.00 | 0.06 |
| 2026 | 0.03 | 0.00 | 0.06 |
| 2027 | 0.03 | 0.00 | 0.06 |
| 2028 | 0.03 | 0.00 | 0.06 |
| 2029 | 0.03 | 0.00 | 0.06 |
Swainson's Hawk Survey Routes in Minnesota
| Ash Creek | 2 | 2017 | 1995 |
| Appleton | 2 | 2010 | 1985 |
| Chandler | 1 | 2022 | 1981 |
| Millville | 1 | 2011 | 2011 |
| Lakeville | 1 | 1982 | 1982 |
| Big Stone | 1 | 2012 | 1995 |
| Courtland | 1 | 2015 | 2015 |
| Redwood Fall | 1 | 2006 | 2003 |
| Maynard | 1 | 1986 | 1986 |
| Dawson | 1 | 1991 | 1991 |
| Gluek | 1 | 2013 | 1980 |
| Edwards | 1 | 1996 | 1982 |
| Glyndon | 1 | 1988 | 1988 |
| Beltrami | 1 | 1979 | 1979 |
| Wylie | 1 | 1980 | 1980 |
| Lude | 1 | 1984 | 1984 |
| Lake Bronson | 1 | 1978 | 1978 |
| Tyler | 1 | 2024 | 2015 |
| Chokio North | 1 | 2024 | 2012 |
| Ashby | 1 | 2011 | 2011 |
| Lockhart | 1 | 1993 | 1993 |
| Greenbush | 1 | 2019 | 2019 |
Swainson's Hawk Population Trend in Other States
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.