BirdAnalyst
Species · Missouri · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Sharp-shinned Hawk Population Trend in Missouri

All statesGeneralists

Sharp-shinned Hawk in Missouri has held roughly steady: down 1% on the route-weighted index since 1979.

-1%Since 1979TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
25Routes In StateSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
29YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable Sharp-shinned Hawk Trends in MissouriNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for Sharp-shinned Hawk in Missouri. See the full index history below.

Sharp-shinned Hawk Population Forecast in Missouri

If the recent trend holds, Sharp-shinned Hawk in Missouri is projected to stay roughly flat through 2027, near 0.03 (95% range 0.00–0.08). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±58.4%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

n/aChange by 2027TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
0.03Projected 2027 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
0.00–0.0895% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±58.4%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Sharp-shinned Hawk in Missouri is projected to stay roughly flat through 2027, near 0.03 (95% range 0.00–0.08). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±58.4%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19742027
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20230.040.000.08
20240.040.000.08
20250.040.000.08
20260.040.000.08
20270.030.000.08

Sharp-shinned Hawk Survey Routes in Missouri

Routes recording Sharp-shinned Hawk in Missouri.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Moselle320192019
Mcfall220172002
Kingsville220062006
Pulaski119981989
Peace Valley120122004
Sweden120132013
Cassville119971997
Pineville120221995
Cascade120112011
Akers120122012
Clementine119941974
Handley120101997
Filley120062006
Dover120182018
Danville120072007
Syracuse120151990
Centertown120192001
Eugene120132013
Huntsville120052005
Trenton120012001
Bennett120012001
Barks120031994
Bland120162016
Osage Beach119981998
Sedalia120221991

Sharp-shinned Hawk Population Trend in Other States

alabamaalaskaarizonaarkansascaliforniacoloradoconnecticutdelawaregeorgiaidahoillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimontananebraskanevadanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-mexiconew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomaoregonpennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasutahvermontvirginiawashingtonwest-virginiawisconsinwyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.