BirdAnalyst
Species · Kentucky · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Sharp-shinned Hawk Population Trend in Kentucky

All statesGeneralists

Sharp-shinned Hawk in Kentucky has held roughly steady: down 1% on the route-weighted index since 1972.

-1%Since 1972TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
26Routes In StateSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
30YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable Sharp-shinned Hawk Trends in KentuckyNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for Sharp-shinned Hawk in Kentucky. See the full index history below.

Sharp-shinned Hawk Population Forecast in Kentucky

If the recent trend holds, Sharp-shinned Hawk in Kentucky is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 0.05 (95% range 0.00–0.10). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±82.4%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

n/aChange by 2029TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
0.05Projected 2029 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
0.00–0.1095% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±82.4%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Sharp-shinned Hawk in Kentucky is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 0.05 (95% range 0.00–0.10). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±82.4%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20250.050.000.10
20260.050.000.10
20270.050.000.10
20280.050.000.10
20290.050.000.10

Sharp-shinned Hawk Survey Routes in Kentucky

Routes recording Sharp-shinned Hawk in Kentucky.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Iron Bridge219981998
Lebanon Junction220072007
Cumberlnd Gp120051978
Shiloh119821982
Canton120121972
Keysburg119981998
Cedar Grove120221993
Riverqueen120132013
Pleasurevill120011999
Carter120142006
Beattyville119921992
Kehoe 2120242024
Million119851981
Mcbrayer120001992
Hodgenville119801969
Merrimac119791979
Demunbruns120121978
Hudson120172017
Drakesboro119781978
Dixie120032003
Joy119951995
East Union120101979
Kehoe119661966
Bays Fork120082005
Beattyville 2120072007

Sharp-shinned Hawk Population Trend in Other States

alabamaalaskaarizonaarkansascaliforniacoloradoconnecticutdelawaregeorgiaidahoillinoisindianaiowakansaslouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourimontananebraskanevadanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-mexiconew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomaoregonpennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasutahvermontvirginiawashingtonwest-virginiawisconsinwyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.