BirdAnalyst
Species · Georgia · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Sharp-shinned Hawk Population Trend in Georgia

All statesGeneralists

Sharp-shinned Hawk in Georgia has collapsed: down 75% on the route-weighted index since 1987.

-75%Since 1987TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
21Routes In StateSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
24YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable Sharp-shinned Hawk Trends in GeorgiaNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

long arc declinecomputed indexTrend sourceWhether the figure is our own computed route-weighted index or an official USGS modeled estimate. The current build labels every trend as computed.Full methodology →

Sharp-shinned Hawk has collapsed in Georgia: down 75% on the route-weighted index since 1987.

Sharp-shinned Hawk Population Forecast in Georgia

If the recent trend holds, Sharp-shinned Hawk in Georgia is projected to stay roughly flat through 2024, near 0.01 (95% range 0.00–0.03). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±34.5%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

n/aChange by 2024TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
0.01Projected 2024 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
0.00–0.0395% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±34.5%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Sharp-shinned Hawk in Georgia is projected to stay roughly flat through 2024, near 0.01 (95% range 0.00–0.03). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±34.5%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19702024
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20200.010.000.04
20210.010.000.04
20220.010.000.04
20230.010.000.03
20240.010.000.03

Sharp-shinned Hawk Survey Routes in Georgia

Routes recording Sharp-shinned Hawk in Georgia.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Linwood219951988
Piedmont Nwr120031995
Cuthbert119961996
Guyton119711971
Ball Ground120192019
Crest120052005
Nashville119911991
Maxeys120142014
Hollonville120011989
Oakman119871987
Cartersville120101997
Baldwin119701970
Hiram119991993
Stockbridge119991999
Rutledge120021993
Juliette120112011
Finleyson119911991
Roland120102010
Candler120092009
Davis Crossroads120182018
Whitesburg119921992

Sharp-shinned Hawk Population Trend in Other States

alabamaalaskaarizonaarkansascaliforniacoloradoconnecticutdelawareidahoillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourimontananebraskanevadanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-mexiconew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomaoregonpennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasutahvermontvirginiawashingtonwest-virginiawisconsinwyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.