Species · New York · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Red Crossbill Population Trend in New York
Red Crossbill in New York has held roughly steady: down 4% on the route-weighted index since 1974.
-4%Since 1974
27Routes In State
32Years
Notable Red Crossbill Trends in New York
No notable trend signals for Red Crossbill in New York. See the full index history below.
Red Crossbill Population Forecast in New York
If the recent trend holds, Red Crossbill in New York is projected to fall about 55% by 2027 — from 0.18 in 2022 to a central estimate of 0.08 (95% range 0.00–0.19). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±132%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
-55%Change by 2027
0.08Projected 2027 index
0.00–0.1995% range
±132%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 0.08 | 0.00 | 0.19 |
| 2024 | 0.08 | 0.00 | 0.19 |
| 2025 | 0.08 | 0.00 | 0.19 |
| 2026 | 0.08 | 0.00 | 0.19 |
| 2027 | 0.08 | 0.00 | 0.19 |
Red Crossbill Survey Routes in New York
| Newcomb | 14 | 2007 | 1974 |
| Underwood | 8 | 1983 | 1983 |
| Swain 2 | 7 | 2022 | 2022 |
| Mckeever | 5 | 2012 | 1980 |
| Warrensburg | 5 | 1969 | 1969 |
| Hamburg | 4 | 1973 | 1973 |
| Duanesburg | 3 | 1973 | 1973 |
| Dryden | 3 | 2022 | 2021 |
| Penfield | 3 | 1973 | 1973 |
| Dexter Lake | 3 | 1969 | 1969 |
| Phillips Cr | 2 | 1999 | 1994 |
| Swain | 2 | 2004 | 1985 |
| Randolph | 2 | 1973 | 1973 |
| Cicero Ctr | 2 | 1982 | 1982 |
| St Regis Fls | 2 | 2011 | 1986 |
| Pulaski | 2 | 1977 | 1977 |
| Highmarket | 2 | 2016 | 2016 |
| N Wilmurt | 2 | 1996 | 1976 |
| Inlet | 2 | 2017 | 2009 |
| Mcdonough | 1 | 2017 | 2017 |
| Cherry Hill | 1 | 1973 | 1973 |
| Blue Ridge N | 1 | 1997 | 1997 |
| Old Forge | 1 | 1978 | 1978 |
| Blue Ridge S | 1 | 1987 | 1987 |
| Speculator | 1 | 1987 | 1987 |
Red Crossbill Population Trend in Other States
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.