Species · New Hampshire · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Red Crossbill Population Trend in New Hampshire
Red Crossbill in New Hampshire has surged: up 146% on the route-weighted index since 1971.
+146%Since 1971
15Routes In State
18Years
Notable Red Crossbill Trends in New Hampshire
long arc increasecomputed index
Red Crossbill has surged in New Hampshire: up 146% on the route-weighted index since 1971.
Red Crossbill Population Forecast in New Hampshire
If the recent trend holds, Red Crossbill in New Hampshire is projected to fall about 23% by 2029 — from 0.23 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.17 (95% range 0.00–1.1). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±67.6%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
-23%Change by 2029
0.17Projected 2029 index
0.00–1.195% range
±67.6%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0.19 | 0.00 | 1.2 |
| 2026 | 0.18 | 0.00 | 1.1 |
| 2027 | 0.18 | 0.00 | 1.1 |
| 2028 | 0.18 | 0.00 | 1.1 |
| 2029 | 0.17 | 0.00 | 1.1 |
Red Crossbill Survey Routes in New Hampshire
| Jefferson Hl | 9 | 2015 | 1977 |
| Walpole | 5 | 2023 | 2023 |
| Stratford | 4 | 2019 | 2019 |
| Concord | 3 | 2023 | 2023 |
| Wilmot | 3 | 2023 | 1976 |
| Mt Chocorua | 2 | 2024 | 1970 |
| Milan | 2 | 1992 | 1973 |
| Clarksville | 2 | 2003 | 1975 |
| Dover | 1 | 2000 | 2000 |
| Strafford | 1 | 1986 | 1986 |
| Canterbury | 1 | 2024 | 2022 |
| Marlow | 1 | 2024 | 2024 |
| Franconia | 1 | 1986 | 1967 |
| Dixvil Notch | 1 | 1975 | 1970 |
| Glen | 1 | 2024 | 1976 |
Red Crossbill Population Trend in Other States
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.