Species · Texas · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Loggerhead Shrike Population Trend in Texas
Loggerhead Shrike in Texas has collapsed: down 81% on the route-weighted index since 1969.
-81%Since 1969
207Routes In State
57Years
Notable Loggerhead Shrike Trends in Texas
long arc declinecomputed index
Loggerhead Shrike has collapsed in Texas: down 81% on the route-weighted index since 1969.
Loggerhead Shrike Population Forecast in Texas
If the recent trend holds, Loggerhead Shrike in Texas is projected to fall about 79% by 2029 — from 0.66 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.14 (95% range 0.00–1.1). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±40.9%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
-79%Change by 2029
0.14Projected 2029 index
0.00–1.195% range
±40.9%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0.37 | 0.00 | 1.3 |
| 2026 | 0.31 | 0.00 | 1.2 |
| 2027 | 0.26 | 0.00 | 1.2 |
| 2028 | 0.20 | 0.00 | 1.1 |
| 2029 | 0.14 | 0.00 | 1.1 |
Loggerhead Shrike Survey Routes in Texas
| Duran | 19 | 1999 | 1995 |
| Pecos | 19 | 2017 | 2017 |
| Gruver | 15 | 2016 | 1994 |
| Indianola | 14 | 2024 | 1967 |
| Town Bluff | 12 | 1990 | 1971 |
| Weinert | 12 | 1994 | 1969 |
| Cornudas | 11 | 2018 | 1968 |
| Vanderbilt | 10 | 1976 | 1969 |
| Ozona | 10 | 2021 | 1999 |
| Lag Atascosa | 9 | 2024 | 1975 |
| Chisos Basin | 9 | 2019 | 1998 |
| Castolon | 8 | 2019 | 1995 |
| Wink | 7 | 1986 | 1975 |
| Kingsville | 6 | 2024 | 1969 |
| Dallas | 6 | 1997 | 1967 |
| Coyanda Draw | 6 | 2024 | 1994 |
| Marathon | 6 | 2023 | 2005 |
| Wolfe City | 5 | 1987 | 1969 |
| Black Gap | 5 | 2022 | 1992 |
| Valentine | 5 | 1987 | 1969 |
| Delaware Crk | 5 | 2015 | 1971 |
| Shields | 5 | 2001 | 1999 |
| Hawley | 5 | 2007 | 1994 |
| Loyola Beach | 4 | 2009 | 1998 |
| Skellytown | 4 | 2009 | 1996 |
Loggerhead Shrike Population Trend in Other States
alabamaarizonaarkansascaliforniacoloradofloridageorgiaidahoillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamainemarylandmichiganminnesotamississippimissourimontananebraskanevadanew-mexiconew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomaoregonpennsylvaniasouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseeutahvermontvirginiawashingtonwest-virginiawisconsinwyoming
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.