Species · North Carolina · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Loggerhead Shrike Population Trend in North Carolina

Loggerhead Shrike in North Carolina has collapsed: down 93% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

-93%Since 1968
55Routes In State
58Years

Notable Loggerhead Shrike Trends in North Carolina

long arc declinecomputed index

Loggerhead Shrike has collapsed in North Carolina: down 93% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

Loggerhead Shrike Population Forecast in North Carolina

If the recent trend holds, Loggerhead Shrike in North Carolina is projected to fall about 100% by 2029 — from 0.41 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.00 (95% range 0.00–1.9). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±241.7%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-100%Change by 2029
0.00Projected 2029 index
0.001.995% range
±241.7%Backtest error
19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20250.000.001.9
20260.000.001.9
20270.000.001.9
20280.000.001.9
20290.000.001.9

Loggerhead Shrike Survey Routes in North Carolina

Routes recording Loggerhead Shrike in North Carolina.
Pinetops820241999
Cherryville419681966
Wilgrove420101996
Rowland420241990
Dudley320242002
Dortches320241990
Fairmont219811975
Saxapahaw219871966
Oakboro220141969
Madison219761966
Bethel220242002
Cypress Lakes220242007
Hulls Xroads219971997
Durham219951990
Waco220221989
Shallotte119741966
Myrtle Grove119681968
Wards Corner120231966
Hallsboro120172006
Raeford120131993
Beargrass119701970
Speed120231966
Kinston120241966
Jordan120051966
Rose120241968

Loggerhead Shrike Population Trend in Other States

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.