Species · North Carolina · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Loggerhead Shrike Population Trend in North Carolina
Loggerhead Shrike in North Carolina has collapsed: down 93% on the route-weighted index since 1968.
-93%Since 1968
55Routes In State
58Years
Notable Loggerhead Shrike Trends in North Carolina
long arc declinecomputed index
Loggerhead Shrike has collapsed in North Carolina: down 93% on the route-weighted index since 1968.
Loggerhead Shrike Population Forecast in North Carolina
If the recent trend holds, Loggerhead Shrike in North Carolina is projected to fall about 100% by 2029 — from 0.41 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.00 (95% range 0.00–1.9). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±241.7%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
-100%Change by 2029
0.00Projected 2029 index
0.00–1.995% range
±241.7%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.9 |
| 2026 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.9 |
| 2027 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.9 |
| 2028 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.9 |
| 2029 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.9 |
Loggerhead Shrike Survey Routes in North Carolina
| Pinetops | 8 | 2024 | 1999 |
| Cherryville | 4 | 1968 | 1966 |
| Wilgrove | 4 | 2010 | 1996 |
| Rowland | 4 | 2024 | 1990 |
| Dudley | 3 | 2024 | 2002 |
| Dortches | 3 | 2024 | 1990 |
| Fairmont | 2 | 1981 | 1975 |
| Saxapahaw | 2 | 1987 | 1966 |
| Oakboro | 2 | 2014 | 1969 |
| Madison | 2 | 1976 | 1966 |
| Bethel | 2 | 2024 | 2002 |
| Cypress Lakes | 2 | 2024 | 2007 |
| Hulls Xroads | 2 | 1997 | 1997 |
| Durham | 2 | 1995 | 1990 |
| Waco | 2 | 2022 | 1989 |
| Shallotte | 1 | 1974 | 1966 |
| Myrtle Grove | 1 | 1968 | 1968 |
| Wards Corner | 1 | 2023 | 1966 |
| Hallsboro | 1 | 2017 | 2006 |
| Raeford | 1 | 2013 | 1993 |
| Beargrass | 1 | 1970 | 1970 |
| Speed | 1 | 2023 | 1966 |
| Kinston | 1 | 2024 | 1966 |
| Jordan | 1 | 2005 | 1966 |
| Rose | 1 | 2024 | 1968 |
Loggerhead Shrike Population Trend in Other States
alabamaarizonaarkansascaliforniacoloradofloridageorgiaidahoillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamainemarylandmichiganminnesotamississippimissourimontananebraskanevadanew-mexiconew-yorknorth-dakotaohiooklahomaoregonpennsylvaniasouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasutahvermontvirginiawashingtonwest-virginiawisconsinwyoming
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.