Species · Missouri · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Blue-winged Warbler Population Trend in Missouri
Blue-winged Warbler in Missouri has surged: up 178% on the route-weighted index since 1971.
+178%Since 1971
48Routes In State
55Years
Notable Blue-winged Warbler Trends in Missouri
long arc increasecomputed index
Blue-winged Warbler has surged in Missouri: up 178% on the route-weighted index since 1971.
Blue-winged Warbler Population Forecast in Missouri
If the recent trend holds, Blue-winged Warbler in Missouri is projected to rise about 95% by 2029 — from 0.36 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.70 (95% range 0.11–1.3). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±90.5%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
+95%Change by 2029
0.70Projected 2029 index
0.11–1.395% range
±90.5%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0.68 | 0.09 | 1.3 |
| 2026 | 0.68 | 0.10 | 1.3 |
| 2027 | 0.69 | 0.10 | 1.3 |
| 2028 | 0.69 | 0.11 | 1.3 |
| 2029 | 0.70 | 0.11 | 1.3 |
Blue-winged Warbler Survey Routes in Missouri
| Palace | 8 | 2024 | 2018 |
| Williamsvill | 6 | 2024 | 1994 |
| Clementine 2 | 5 | 2007 | 2005 |
| Ironton | 4 | 1980 | 1973 |
| Wesco | 4 | 2008 | 1974 |
| Clementine | 4 | 1996 | 1976 |
| Sticklervill | 4 | 1972 | 1972 |
| Osage Beach | 4 | 2023 | 2000 |
| Deventer | 3 | 1982 | 1982 |
| Sweden | 2 | 2023 | 1988 |
| Handley | 2 | 2007 | 1987 |
| Huntsville | 2 | 2021 | 1978 |
| Viburnum | 2 | 2024 | 2017 |
| Trenton | 2 | 1972 | 1972 |
| Bennett | 2 | 2023 | 1995 |
| Barks | 2 | 2021 | 1994 |
| Centerville | 2 | 2023 | 1994 |
| Moselle | 2 | 2024 | 2001 |
| Millwood | 2 | 2014 | 2004 |
| Pulaski | 1 | 2017 | 1990 |
| Peace Valley | 1 | 2021 | 1977 |
| Cassville | 1 | 2011 | 2003 |
| Pineville | 1 | 1984 | 1984 |
| Cascade | 1 | 2024 | 1973 |
| Akers | 1 | 2001 | 1967 |
Blue-winged Warbler Population Trend in Other States
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.