Species · Texas · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Blue Grosbeak Population Trend in Texas
Blue Grosbeak in Texas has surged: up 85% on the route-weighted index since 1969.
+85%Since 1969
232Routes In State
57Years
Notable Blue Grosbeak Trends in Texas
long arc increasecomputed index
Blue Grosbeak has surged in Texas: up 85% on the route-weighted index since 1969.
Blue Grosbeak Population Forecast in Texas
If the recent trend holds, Blue Grosbeak in Texas is projected to rise about 22% by 2029 — from 2.9 in 2024 to a central estimate of 3.6 (95% range 2.8–4.3). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±10%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
+22%Change by 2029
3.6Projected 2029 index
2.8–4.395% range
±10%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 3.4 | 2.7 | 4.2 |
| 2026 | 3.5 | 2.7 | 4.2 |
| 2027 | 3.5 | 2.8 | 4.3 |
| 2028 | 3.5 | 2.8 | 4.3 |
| 2029 | 3.6 | 2.8 | 4.3 |
Blue Grosbeak Survey Routes in Texas
| Quitman Cyn. | 35 | 2009 | 1999 |
| Pecos | 35 | 2017 | 2017 |
| Eldorado | 22 | 2023 | 1975 |
| Casa Piedra | 20 | 2023 | 1986 |
| Bear Mtn | 20 | 2024 | 1988 |
| Rachal | 19 | 2023 | 1967 |
| Coyanda Draw | 18 | 2024 | 1994 |
| Agua Nueva | 17 | 2023 | 1969 |
| Quitman Canyon 2 | 17 | 2024 | 2010 |
| Skellytown | 16 | 2024 | 1994 |
| Utopia | 15 | 2024 | 1969 |
| Tenmile | 15 | 2019 | 2002 |
| Delaware Crk | 14 | 2015 | 1972 |
| Langtry | 13 | 2000 | 1994 |
| Ft. Davis | 13 | 2023 | 2004 |
| Leakey | 12 | 2024 | 1994 |
| Presidio | 12 | 2023 | 2000 |
| Van Horn | 12 | 2024 | 2017 |
| Smyrna | 11 | 2010 | 1995 |
| Longfellow | 10 | 2024 | 1968 |
| Ozona | 10 | 2022 | 1975 |
| San Pedro | 10 | 2023 | 1996 |
| Loyola Beach 2 | 10 | 2024 | 2010 |
| Pumpville | 10 | 2024 | 2006 |
| Liberty Hill | 9 | 2023 | 1968 |
Blue Grosbeak Population Trend in Other States
alabamaarizonaarkansascaliforniacoloradodelawarefloridageorgiaidahoillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamarylandminnesotamississippimissourimontananebraskanevadanew-jerseynew-mexiconew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomapennsylvaniasouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseeutahvirginiawest-virginiawyoming
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.