Guild · Texas · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Grassland Birds In Texas
11 species in this guild. As a group they are -51% since 1969.
Guild Signals
guild collapsecomputed index
Grassland birds as a group have fallen sharply in Texas, down 51% since 1969.
Forecast
If the recent trend holds, Grassland birds in Texas is projected to fall about 53% by 2029 — from 7.2 in 2024 to a central estimate of 3.4 (95% range 0.00–7.3). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±33.7%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
-53%Change by 2029
3.4Projected 2029 index
0.00–7.395% range
±33.7%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 4.3 | 0.38 | 8.3 |
| 2026 | 4.1 | 0.14 | 8.0 |
| 2027 | 3.8 | 0.00 | 7.8 |
| 2028 | 3.6 | 0.00 | 7.6 |
| 2029 | 3.4 | 0.00 | 7.3 |
Member Species In Texas
| Eastern Meadowlark | Icteridae | -80% |
| Northern Bobwhite | Odontophoridae | -77% |
| Lark Sparrow | Passerellidae | -65% |
| Cassin's Sparrow | Passerellidae | -25% |
| Dickcissel | Cardinalidae | -20% |
| Western Meadowlark | Icteridae | +25% |
| Horned Lark | Alaudidae | +80% |
| Upland Sandpiper | Scolopacidae | +99% |
| Grasshopper Sparrow | Passerellidae | +218% |
| Lark Bunting | Passerellidae | +357% |
| Ring-necked Pheasant | Phasianidae | +742% |
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.