BirdAnalyst
Species · Texas · BBS 2026 Release · 1966–2025

Upland Sandpiper Population Trend in Texas

All statesGrassland birds

Upland Sandpiper in Texas has surged: up 99% on the route-weighted index since 1976.

+99%Since 1976TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
14Routes In StateSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
22YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable Upland Sandpiper Trends in TexasNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for Upland Sandpiper in Texas. See the full index history below.

Upland Sandpiper Population Forecast in Texas

If the recent trend holds, Upland Sandpiper in Texas is projected to stay roughly flat through 2022, near 0.04 (95% range 0.00–0.12). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±87.6%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

n/aChange by 2022TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
0.04Projected 2022 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
0.00–0.1295% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±87.6%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Upland Sandpiper in Texas is projected to stay roughly flat through 2022, near 0.04 (95% range 0.00–0.12). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±87.6%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19692022
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20180.040.000.12
20190.040.000.12
20200.040.000.12
20210.040.000.12
20220.040.000.12

Upland Sandpiper Survey Routes in Texas

Routes recording Upland Sandpiper in Texas.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Gainesville319911979
Peach Creek219711971
E Georgetown219761976
Waka219961982
Beaver Creek220162016
Charlie220172015
Gruver220102010
Megargel119951994
Olney120101980
Henrietta119931986
Rotan119941994
Weinert119921989
Campbellton119861985
Katy119711969

Upland Sandpiper Population Trend in Other States

alaskacoloradoillinoisindianaiowakansasmainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamissourimontananebraskanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-yorknorth-dakotaohiooklahomaoregonpennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-dakotavermontvirginiawest-virginiawisconsinwyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-08-14.