BirdAnalyst
Species · New York · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Upland Sandpiper Population Trend in New York

All statesGrassland birds

Upland Sandpiper in New York has collapsed: down 96% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

-96%Since 1968TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
43Routes In StateSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
43YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable Upland Sandpiper Trends in New YorkNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

long arc declinecomputed indexTrend sourceWhether the figure is our own computed route-weighted index or an official USGS modeled estimate. The current build labels every trend as computed.Full methodology →

Upland Sandpiper has collapsed in New York: down 96% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

Upland Sandpiper Population Forecast in New York

If the recent trend holds, Upland Sandpiper in New York is projected to stay roughly flat through 2015, near 0.00 (95% range 0.00–0.23). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±272.5%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

n/aChange by 2015TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
0.00Projected 2015 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
0.00–0.2395% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±272.5%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Upland Sandpiper in New York is projected to stay roughly flat through 2015, near 0.00 (95% range 0.00–0.23). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±272.5%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19662015
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20110.000.000.23
20120.000.000.23
20130.000.000.23
20140.000.000.23
20150.000.000.23

Upland Sandpiper Survey Routes in New York

Routes recording Upland Sandpiper in New York.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Nashville419911968
Centerville319701970
E Youngstown320011969
Penfield319781972
Ballston Lk219701967
Mcdonough219721972
Romulus219901980
East Java220081967
Sheridan219891966
Cicero Ctr219881966
N Wilmurt219711967
Argyle219971968
Waddington219911985
Hopkinton219901979
Oxford 2119941994
Duanesburg119981966
Dryden120051966
Macdougall119811981
Swain119921969
Orleans119801980
Rushville120072007
Branchport119731973
Mendon119891973
Mt Morris119861986
Hamburg119711971

Upland Sandpiper Population Trend in Other States

alaskacoloradoillinoisindianaiowakansasmainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamissourimontananebraskanew-hampshirenew-jerseynorth-dakotaohiooklahomaoregonpennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-dakotatexasvermontvirginiawest-virginiawisconsinwyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.