BirdAnalyst
Species · Kansas · BBS 2026 Release · 1966–2025

Upland Sandpiper Population Trend in Kansas

All statesGrassland birds

Upland Sandpiper in Kansas has edged down: down 15% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

-15%Since 1969TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
65Routes In StateSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
58YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable Upland Sandpiper Trends in KansasNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for Upland Sandpiper in Kansas. See the full index history below.

Upland Sandpiper Population Forecast in Kansas

If the recent trend holds, Upland Sandpiper in Kansas is projected to rise about 115% by 2030 — from 1.8 in 2025 to a central estimate of 3.9 (95% range 0.66–7.2). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±100.5%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+115%Change by 2030TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
3.9Projected 2030 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
0.66–7.295% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±100.5%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Upland Sandpiper in Kansas is projected to rise about 115% by 2030 — from 1.8 in 2025 to a central estimate of 3.9 (95% range 0.66–7.2). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±100.5%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19672030
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20264.00.777.3
20274.00.747.3
20284.00.727.2
20293.90.697.2
20303.90.667.2

Upland Sandpiper Survey Routes in Kansas

Routes recording Upland Sandpiper in Kansas.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Lincolnville2220242002
Thrall2019701967
Wreford1220241967
Susank1220222000
Kanopolis820251977
Hays819831982
Barclay720251967
Gove720121998
Chapman619811967
Phillipsburg620251985
Beloit 2620182005
Damar620162000
Lapland520221974
Covert520251969
Logan520251968
Plymell520242005
Solomon520251982
Minneapolis420191967
Jewell420051977
Le Loup420122000
Ash Valley420192013
Grigston420242004
Longton420211976
Lakin320171967
Ellinor320251967

Upland Sandpiper Population Trend in Other States

alaskacoloradoillinoisindianaiowamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamissourimontananebraskanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-yorknorth-dakotaohiooklahomaoregonpennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-dakotatexasvermontvirginiawest-virginiawisconsinwyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-08-14.