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Species · Nebraska · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Upland Sandpiper Population Trend in Nebraska

All statesGrassland birds

Upland Sandpiper in Nebraska has surged: up 94% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

+94%Since 1969TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
71Routes In StateSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
57YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable Upland Sandpiper Trends in NebraskaNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

long arc increasecomputed indexTrend sourceWhether the figure is our own computed route-weighted index or an official USGS modeled estimate. The current build labels every trend as computed.Full methodology →

Upland Sandpiper has surged in Nebraska: up 94% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

Upland Sandpiper Population Forecast in Nebraska

If the recent trend holds, Upland Sandpiper in Nebraska is projected to rise about 19% by 2029 — from 9.0 in 2024 to a central estimate of 11 (95% range 8.0–13). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±15.8%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+19%Change by 2029TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
11Projected 2029 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
8.0–1395% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±15.8%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Upland Sandpiper in Nebraska is projected to rise about 19% by 2029 — from 9.0 in 2024 to a central estimate of 11 (95% range 8.0–13). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±15.8%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19672029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
2025107.613
2026107.713
2027117.813
2028117.913
2029118.013

Upland Sandpiper Survey Routes in Nebraska

Routes recording Upland Sandpiper in Nebraska.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Chambers3920232023
Berwyn3920101993
Swan Lake3620231969
Brownlee3120241990
Bassett3120242018
Belvidere3020241986
Piester Lake2920241967
Gordon2920241975
Sumner2620241969
Berwyn 22620212014
Mullen2520231992
Wheeler Co2320241978
Hampton2220242018
Kennedy2120241976
Crookston2120242018
Table1920241973
Petersburg1520231970
Sparta1420211969
Tilden1420242019
Johnstown1320241967
Oglala Nat. Grass.1320231999
Eagle Creek1220241967
Sutherland1220242023
Paxton1120161967
Bartlett1019761967

Upland Sandpiper Population Trend in Other States

alaskacoloradoillinoisindianaiowakansasmainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamissourimontananew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-yorknorth-dakotaohiooklahomaoregonpennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-dakotatexasvermontvirginiawest-virginiawisconsinwyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.