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Species · Nebraska · BBS 2026 Release · 1966–2025

Upland Sandpiper Population Trend in Nebraska

All statesGrassland birds

Upland Sandpiper in Nebraska has surged: up 98% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

+98%Since 1969TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
73Routes In StateSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
58YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable Upland Sandpiper Trends in NebraskaNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

long arc increasecomputed indexTrend sourceWhether the figure is our own computed route-weighted index or an official USGS modeled estimate. The current build labels every trend as computed.Full methodology →

Upland Sandpiper has surged in Nebraska: up 98% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

Upland Sandpiper Population Forecast in Nebraska

If the recent trend holds, Upland Sandpiper in Nebraska is projected to rise about 21% by 2030 — from 8.8 in 2025 to a central estimate of 11 (95% range 8.0–13). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±16.6%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+21%Change by 2030TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
11Projected 2030 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
8.0–1395% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±16.6%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Upland Sandpiper in Nebraska is projected to rise about 21% by 2030 — from 8.8 in 2025 to a central estimate of 11 (95% range 8.0–13). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±16.6%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19672030
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
2026107.613
2027107.713
2028117.813
2029117.913
2030118.013

Upland Sandpiper Survey Routes in Nebraska

Routes recording Upland Sandpiper in Nebraska.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Arthur5520251985
Bassett3920252018
Berwyn3920101993
Surprise3620251977
Swan Lake2920251969
Piester Lake2620251967
Hampton2620252018
Mullen2520231992
Berwyn 22320252014
Brownlee2120251990
Belvidere1920251986
Sumner1820251969
Chambers1820252023
Madison1620252018
Petersburg1520231970
Kenesaw1420251993
Johnstown1320251967
Ringgold1320251985
Tilden1320252019
Paxton1120161967
Gordon1120251975
Crescent Lk1120251980
Crookston1120252018
Wheeler Co1120251978
Bartlett1019761967

Upland Sandpiper Population Trend in Other States

alaskacoloradoillinoisindianaiowakansasmainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamissourimontananew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-yorknorth-dakotaohiooklahomaoregonpennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-dakotatexasvermontvirginiawest-virginiawisconsinwyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-08-14.