BirdAnalyst
Species · Ohio · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Upland Sandpiper Population Trend in Ohio

All statesGrassland birds

Upland Sandpiper in Ohio has collapsed: down 97% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

-97%Since 1968TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
24Routes In StateSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
29YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable Upland Sandpiper Trends in OhioNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

long arc declinecomputed indexTrend sourceWhether the figure is our own computed route-weighted index or an official USGS modeled estimate. The current build labels every trend as computed.Full methodology →

Upland Sandpiper has collapsed in Ohio: down 96% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

Upland Sandpiper Population Forecast in Ohio

If the recent trend holds, Upland Sandpiper in Ohio is projected to stay roughly flat through 2028, near 0.00 (95% range 0.00–0.29). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±970.6%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

n/aChange by 2028TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
0.00Projected 2028 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
0.00–0.2995% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±970.6%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Upland Sandpiper in Ohio is projected to stay roughly flat through 2028, near 0.00 (95% range 0.00–0.29). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±970.6%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19662028
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20240.000.000.29
20250.000.000.29
20260.000.000.29
20270.000.000.29
20280.000.000.29

Upland Sandpiper Survey Routes in Ohio

Routes recording Upland Sandpiper in Ohio.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Cumberland519811966
Napoleon219941969
Graytown219711971
No Kenton219731973
Kenton219811966
Bloomville119981998
Kingsway120231966
Middlefield119751975
Lenox119801967
Herner Crns119841982
Marion119681966
New Dover119791966
Lattasburg119731973
Westerville119661966
New Somerset119751975
Darrtown119821966
Harveysburg119811966
Wilmington119751975
Newport119741966
Xenia119721966
Omega119871987
Hebron119731966
Limestone119941992
Hiram119961996

Upland Sandpiper Population Trend in Other States

alaskacoloradoillinoisindianaiowakansasmainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamissourimontananebraskanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-yorknorth-dakotaoklahomaoregonpennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-dakotatexasvermontvirginiawest-virginiawisconsinwyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.