Guild · Ohio · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Aerial Insectivores In Ohio
17 species in this guild. As a group they are +15% since 1968.
Guild Signals
No notable trend signals for aerial insectivores in Ohio. See the full index history below.
Forecast
If the recent trend holds, Aerial insectivores in Ohio is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 4.3 (95% range 3.5–5.0). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±6.7%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
-4%Change by 2029
4.3Projected 2029 index
3.5–5.095% range
±6.7%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 4.2 | 3.5 | 5.0 |
| 2026 | 4.2 | 3.5 | 5.0 |
| 2027 | 4.2 | 3.5 | 5.0 |
| 2028 | 4.3 | 3.5 | 5.0 |
| 2029 | 4.3 | 3.5 | 5.0 |
Member Species In Ohio
| Alder Flycatcher | Tyrannidae | -82% |
| Chimney Swift | Apodidae | -68% |
| Bank Swallow | Hirundinidae | -68% |
| Least Flycatcher | Tyrannidae | -67% |
| Common Nighthawk | Caprimulgidae | -46% |
| Great Crested Flycatcher | Tyrannidae | -29% |
| Purple Martin | Hirundinidae | -27% |
| Eastern Whip-poor-will | Caprimulgidae | +13% |
| Eastern Kingbird | Tyrannidae | +21% |
| Eastern Phoebe | Tyrannidae | +29% |
| Willow Flycatcher | Tyrannidae | +36% |
| Northern Rough-winged Swallow | Hirundinidae | +42% |
| Barn Swallow | Hirundinidae | +73% |
| Eastern Wood-Pewee | Tyrannidae | +84% |
| Acadian Flycatcher | Tyrannidae | +328% |
| Tree Swallow | Hirundinidae | +552% |
| Cliff Swallow | Hirundinidae | 16× |
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.