BirdAnalyst
Guild · North Dakota · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Aerial Insectivores In North Dakota

All statesNorth Dakota

18 species in this guild. As a group they are +89% since 1969.

Guild Signals

No notable trend signals for aerial insectivores in North Dakota. See the full index history below.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Aerial insectivores in North Dakota is projected to rise about 36% by 2029 — from 7.0 in 2024 to a central estimate of 9.6 (95% range 6.9–12). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±22.4%, with 60% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+36%Change by 2029
9.6Projected 2029 index
6.9–1295% range
±22.4%Backtest error
19672029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20259.36.612
20269.46.712
20279.46.712
20289.56.812
20299.66.912

Member Species In North Dakota

Aerial insectivores species in North Dakota.
Chimney SwiftApodidae-46%
Alder FlycatcherTyrannidae-1%
Bank SwallowHirundinidae-0%
Barn SwallowHirundinidae+2%
Western Wood-PeweeTyrannidae+2%
Western KingbirdTyrannidae+55%
Eastern KingbirdTyrannidae+70%
Eastern PhoebeTyrannidae+78%
Common NighthawkCaprimulgidae+92%
Northern Rough-winged SwallowHirundinidae+109%
Eastern Wood-PeweeTyrannidae+161%
Willow FlycatcherTyrannidae+171%
Great Crested FlycatcherTyrannidae+202%
Cliff SwallowHirundinidae+203%
Purple MartinHirundinidae+241%
Least FlycatcherTyrannidae+257%
Say's PhoebeTyrannidae+385%
Tree SwallowHirundinidae+952%

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.